Financial Performance - Flowers Foods reported quarterly earnings of $0.35 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.38 per share, and down from $0.38 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -7.89% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.55 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.04%, and down from $1.58 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Flowers Foods has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times but has not beaten consensus revenue estimates [2] Stock Performance - Flowers Foods shares have lost about 17.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 0.6% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Flowers Foods is 3 (Hold), indicating that the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.32 on $1.3 billion in revenues, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.18 on $5.43 billion in revenues [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Flowers Foods is mixed, and changes in estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year are anticipated following the recent earnings report [6][7] Industry Context - The Zacks Industry Rank for Food - Miscellaneous is currently in the bottom 40% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact the performance of Flowers Foods [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, suggesting that industry outlook can materially affect stock performance [5][8]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates flat earnings for Flowers Foods (FLO) in the upcoming quarter, with revenues expected to increase slightly, but actual results will significantly influence stock price movements [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - Flowers Foods is projected to report earnings of $0.38 per share, unchanged from the previous year, with revenues estimated at $1.6 billion, reflecting a 1.7% increase year-over-year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.33% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4][10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Flowers Foods is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.06% [10][11]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Flowers Foods exceeded earnings expectations by delivering $0.22 per share against an expected $0.21, resulting in a surprise of +4.76% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Conclusion - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, Flowers Foods does not appear to be a strong candidate for exceeding expectations based on current estimates and rankings [16].

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