Core Viewpoint - GXO Logistics is projected to generate $341 million in free cash flow (FCF) next year, leading to a forward price-to-FCF multiple of 17.7 times, with a target price of nearly $65 indicating a potential upside of 23.6% [1] Group 1: GXO Logistics - GXO is recognized as the largest pure-play contract logistics provider globally and is a leader in implementing productivity-enhancing technologies such as automation and intelligent warehousing solutions [4] - The company has experienced a slowdown in organic revenue growth due to reduced spending on e-commerce warehousing following a previous boom during lockdowns, but it is expected to meet its 2025 guidance with a 4.1% organic revenue growth in the first nine months of 2025 [2][3] - Despite recent challenges, GXO's long-term growth prospects remain strong due to the increasing complexity of warehouse technology and the trend towards outsourcing logistics [4] Group 2: Zebra Technologies - Zebra Technologies is a leader in the automatic identification and data capture industry, providing solutions such as barcode readers and RFID devices, which are essential in retail and logistics [8] - Similar to GXO, Zebra faced a decline in sales after a surge during lockdowns, but its long-term growth outlook is positive, particularly with the integration of AI solutions that enhance customer workflows [10] - Management anticipates $800 million in FCF for 2025, with Wall Street estimating $888 million for 2026, resulting in a forward FCF multiple of less than 15 times, supporting a target price of $358 with a 37% upside [11] Group 3: ON Semiconductor - ON Semiconductor's investment case is driven by its exposure to electric vehicles (EVs) and industrial automation, with a cyclical recovery expected in its end markets [12][13] - The company has faced a slowdown in EV spending due to high interest rates and a pullback in investment following the COVID-19 lockdowns, but EVs remain a growth area in the auto market [14] - Trading at less than 16 times the estimated 2025 FCF, ON Semiconductor is viewed as an excellent value, with growth prospects bolstered by its partnership with Nvidia [16]