Options Activity - The Nov. 14 $3 call option for Tilray (TLRY) was notably active, with a volume of 148,312, representing nearly 10% of its open interest [2] - The call options outpaced put options with a ratio of 754 to 434, indicating a bullish sentiment [3] - The $3 call's Vol/OI ratio was 3.64, suggesting unusual activity, with 99% of trades being for 10 contracts or more [1][2] Long Strangle Strategy - A long strangle strategy was proposed involving the Nov. 14 $3 call and a $1.50 put, with a net debit of $0.35, which is 23.1% of the share price [8] - The upper breakeven price for this strategy is $3.35, while the lower breakeven price is $1.15 [8] - To profit, the stock must rise by 121.3% or fall by 24.04% from the current share price [9] Palantir Analysis - Palantir (PLTR) has shown strong bullish indicators with numerous call and put options having Vol/OI ratios over 1.0 [11] - The net debit for a long strangle on Palantir is $4.13, which is 2.3% of its closing price of $178.12 [12] - The expected move for Palantir is 7.82%, indicating a need for significant price movement to achieve profitability [12] Amer Sports Insights - Amer Sports has seen a decline of 16% in the past month, raising questions about the sustainability of its gains since its IPO [15] - The Nov. 21 $40 call option for Amer had a Vol/OI ratio of 8.74, indicating unusual activity [17] - The expected move for Amer is 14.05%, with a recommended long $40 call and long $35 put strategy [19]

Core Insights - The article discusses the bear call spread strategy, which involves selling one call option and buying another to limit risk while profiting from a bearish outlook on a stock [1][2]. Group 1: Bear Call Spread Mechanics - A bear call spread is a vertical spread where two options with the same expiry month are traded, generating a credit for the trader [1]. - The sold call option is closer to the stock price than the bought call, and the strategy performs best when the stock declines [2]. - This strategy can also yield profits if the stock remains flat or rises slightly, and it is suitable for retirement accounts due to its defined risk [2]. Group 2: FedEx (FDX) Specifics - FedEx (FDX) has a high implied volatility percentile of 90% ahead of its earnings announcement on September 18th, making it a candidate for a bear call spread [3]. - The proposed bear call spread for FDX involves selling the $250-strike call and buying the $260-strike call, with a potential credit of $1.85, leading to a maximum risk of $815 and a profit potential of 22.70% [4][5]. - The breakeven price for this trade is $251.85, which is 9.71% above the current stock price [4]. Group 3: Alternative Bear Call Spread - An alternative bear call spread involves selling the $230-strike call and buying the $250-strike call, with a potential credit of $7.20, resulting in a maximum risk of $1,280 and a profit potential of 56.25% [8]. - This alternative strategy has a higher loss probability of 40.4% compared to the previous spread [8]. Group 4: Technical Opinion - The Barchart Technical Opinion rating for FDX is a 32% Sell, indicating a weak short-term outlook for maintaining the current direction [7].