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英伟达公司:业绩稳健,尽管有中国限制仍具指引性;Blackwell生产部署推进顺利;本季度准备提升 GB300 产量;重申增持
2025-06-02 15:44
Summary of NVIDIA Corporation Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: NVIDIA Corporation - **Industry**: Semiconductors & Semiconductor Capital Equipment / IT Hardware Key Financial Results - **Q1 FY26 (April Quarter)**: - Revenue: $44 billion, exceeding estimates of $43 billion despite $2.5 billion in lost GPU shipments to China due to restrictions [1][15] - Gross Margin: 61%, down from a prior guidance of 71% due to $4.5 billion in inventory write-downs [1][15] - EPS: $0.81, below consensus of $0.93 [1][15] - **Q2 FY26 (July Quarter) Guidance**: - Expected Revenue: $45 billion, below consensus of $46 billion but better than internal expectations of $41-$43 billion [1][15] - Estimated Datacenter Revenue Growth: ~16% quarter-over-quarter, driven by strong customer spending on AI initiatives [1][15] Segment Performance - **Datacenter Revenue**: Grew ~10% quarter-over-quarter, with strong production ramp of the Blackwell platform [1][15] - **Networking Revenue**: Increased significantly by ~64% quarter-over-quarter, benefiting from NVLink switch content [1][15] - **Gaming Revenue**: Up ~48% quarter-over-quarter due to improved supply and RTX 50-series ramp [1][15] - **Automotive Revenue**: Slight decline of ~1% quarter-over-quarter [1][15] Production and Supply Chain - **Blackwell Production**: Progressing well, with expectations to ramp up Blackwell Ultra (GB300) by the end of the current quarter [1][15] - **Supply Constraints**: Demand for Blackwell continues to outstrip supply for several quarters, with production at 1000 NVL72 racks per week [1][15] Market Outlook - **Long-term Growth**: Anticipated strong growth through CY26, supported by new product launches and a robust ecosystem [1][15] - **Investment Thesis**: Solid demand in PC gaming and data center segments expected to drive revenue, despite challenges in PC OEM [9][10] Valuation and Price Target - **Price Target**: Maintained at $170 for December 2025, based on a 30-35x earnings multiple applied to projected earnings of $5.39 in CY26 [10][15] - **Earnings Growth**: Expected earnings CAGR of 30-35%+ over the next few years, driven by datacenter growth and new revenue streams [10][15] Additional Insights - **Cash Flow**: Generated $27.4 billion in cash flow from operations during the April quarter, with $53.7 billion in cash and equivalents at quarter-end [18] - **Market Position**: NVIDIA maintains a competitive edge with a strong lead in silicon, hardware, and software platforms [1][15] Conclusion - **Overall Assessment**: NVIDIA continues to execute effectively across all segments, with strong growth prospects and a solid investment rating of Overweight [1][9][10]
摩根大通:英伟达财报最新点评,目标价170$
摩根· 2025-05-29 14:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains an Overweight (OW) rating for NVIDIA Corporation with a price target of $170.00 for December 2025 [2][10]. Core Insights - NVIDIA reported solid revenues of $44 billion for the April quarter, exceeding both internal and consensus estimates despite approximately $2.5 billion in lost GPU shipments to China due to restrictions [1][15]. - The company anticipates revenues of $45 billion for the July quarter, which is below consensus but better than internal expectations, reflecting strong growth in datacenter revenues driven by AI initiatives [1][15]. - The Blackwell datacenter platform is experiencing strong demand, with production and deployment ramping up effectively, and the next-gen Blackwell Ultra platform is set to launch soon [1][15]. - NVIDIA's gross margins were impacted by inventory write-downs, but guidance for future margins is optimistic, with expectations of 72% for the upcoming quarter [1][15]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the April quarter, NVIDIA's revenue was $44,062 million, a 12% increase quarter-over-quarter, with a gross margin of 61% [16]. - The company generated cash flow from operations of $27.4 billion during the quarter, ending with $53.7 billion in cash and equivalents [18]. Segment Performance - Datacenter revenues grew approximately 10% quarter-over-quarter, while gaming revenues increased by 48% due to improved supply and new product launches [15][17]. - The automotive segment saw a slight decline of 1% quarter-over-quarter, while networking revenues surged by 64% [15][17]. Market Outlook - The report highlights strong demand in the PC gaming and datacenter segments, with expectations for continued growth driven by AI and deep learning applications [9][10]. - The anticipated earnings growth rate for NVIDIA is projected at 30-35% over the next few years, supported by a robust pipeline in automotive and software revenues [10].