Core Insights - C3.ai is facing significant uncertainty as it enters the new year, with its stock having dropped 55% this year despite the overall AI boom benefiting many tech giants [1] - The unexpected retirement of founder and CEO Thomas Siebel has negatively impacted the company's revenue, leading to a sharp decline following his departure [2][9] - New CEO Stephen Ehikian brings experience that could help stabilize the company, but analysts remain cautious about the stock's potential recovery [3][13] Company Performance - C3.ai's revenue for the first half of fiscal 2026 was $145.4 million, a 20% decrease from the previous year, which was unexpected by management [9] - The company reported a GAAP loss of $221.4 million, a 72% increase compared to the same period last year, indicating challenges in cost management [10] - On an adjusted (non-GAAP) basis, C3.ai lost $84.5 million, marking a 474% increase from the prior year [11] Business Model and Applications - C3.ai offers over 130 ready-made AI applications that facilitate cost-effective AI adoption for businesses, which is crucial given the high costs associated with developing AI models from scratch [5] - Applications like C3.ai Reliability and C3.ai Smart Lending demonstrate significant efficiency improvements, such as reducing downtime by up to 50% and speeding up loan approvals by up to 30% [6][7] Market Outlook - Analysts are generally pessimistic about C3.ai's stock performance in 2026, with only two out of 16 analysts recommending a buy, while the majority suggest holding or selling [14] - The average price target for C3.ai stock is $14.67, indicating a potential decline of 8% from its current price [15] - The company is expected to face a revenue decline of up to 26% for the overall fiscal year 2026, reflecting ongoing challenges [12]