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SMCI vs. CSCO: Which Server Stock is the Better Buy Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-12 17:31
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) are prominent players in the server market, focusing on designs, development, and manufacturing for data centers, cloud computing, AI, and edge computing workloads [1][2] Industry Overview - The global server market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9.8% from 2024 to 2030, driven by increasing demands from AI and high-performance computing (HPC) workloads [2] Company Analysis: SMCI - SMCI's server and storage system revenues grew 10% year-over-year in Q4 FY25, reaching $5.62 billion, which constitutes 97.6% of its total revenue [4] - Over 70% of SMCI's revenues in Q4 FY25 were derived from AI-focused systems, indicating its strong position in AI infrastructure [5] - Recent product launches, including Data Center Building Block Solutions and petascale storage systems, are expected to enhance SMCI's market position [6] - SMCI faces near-term challenges such as delayed purchasing decisions and margin contraction due to price competition [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's Q1 FY26 earnings is 47 cents per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 37.3% [8] Company Analysis: CSCO - CSCO's server offerings include a range of products under the Cisco Unified Computing System (UCS), which integrates networking and server technology [11] - The company has received over $1 billion in AI infrastructure orders year-to-date, with $600 million in Q3 FY25 alone, indicating strong demand [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CSCO's fiscal 2025 revenues is $56.59 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 5.2% [15] Financial Performance - Year-to-date, SMCI shares have increased by 48.3%, while CSCO shares have risen by 19.4% [17] - SMCI has a forward Price to Sales ratio of 4.72X, compared to CSCO's 0.86X, making CSCO's valuation more attractive [18] Conclusion - Both SMCI and CSCO are benefiting from the growth in AI and HPC, but SMCI is currently facing challenges that may impact its near-term performance. CSCO's lower valuation and stronger order growth position it as a more compelling investment opportunity [19]