Cleaner Fuels
Search documents
ExxonMobil Stock: Buy, Hold, or Take Profits After Q3 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 15:51
Core Insights - Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) reported third-quarter 2025 earnings that surpassed expectations, driven by record production in the Permian and Guyana regions [1][7] - The company’s total quarterly revenues of $85.3 billion fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $86.8 billion and decreased from $90.02 billion in the previous year [2] Upstream Operations - ExxonMobil has a significant presence in the Permian Basin and offshore Guyana, utilizing lightweight proppant technology to enhance well recoveries by up to 20% [4] - The company has made multiple oil and gas discoveries in Guyana, contributing to a strong production outlook, with low breakeven costs supporting operations even in low crude price environments [5] Refining and Capital Expenditure - The company’s refining operations provide stability during periods of low oil prices, with upgrades in Singapore enhancing low-value fuel into high-value products [6] - ExxonMobil maintains a conservative capital spending strategy, planning to keep expenditures below the lower end of its 2025 guidance of $27 billion to $29 billion [8] Shareholder Returns and Performance - ExxonMobil has consistently raised its annual dividend payments for 43 years, reflecting a strong commitment to returning capital to shareholders [9] - Year-to-date, ExxonMobil's stock has increased by 9.1%, underperforming the industry average of 10%, with competitors Chevron (CVX) and BP outperforming at 9.6% and 24.2%, respectively [9] Valuation - The company is considered overvalued, trading at a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 7.50X, compared to the industry average of 4.56X, with CVX and BP at 6.81X and 3.29X, respectively [13] - Current analysis suggests it is not an opportune time to invest in ExxonMobil stock, although existing investors may consider holding their positions [15]