Core Insights - Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) is set to release its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on January 28, with an expected earnings per share (EPS) of 58 cents, reflecting a 15.9% decline from 69 cents in the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus estimate for revenues in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 is $9.65 billion, indicating a 2.7% increase from the previous year's figure [4] Earnings Performance - SBUX has missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three out of the last four quarters, with an average miss of 10.1% [2] - The reported earnings for the last four quarters were 0.52, 0.50, 0.41, and 0.69, with an average surprise of -10.08% [3] Factors Influencing Q1 Results - Improved customer traffic and operational resets are expected to positively impact revenues, with U.S. comparable sales turning positive in September and remaining so into October [7] - Menu innovations, including new protein-based beverages and cold foam options, are likely to attract less-frequent customers and encourage customization, contributing to revenue growth [8] - International operations, particularly in markets like China, Japan, the UK, and Mexico, are expected to bolster consolidated revenue growth [10] Cost Pressures - Despite revenue growth, earnings are under pressure from elevated labor and commodity costs, including high coffee prices and tariff impacts [11] - The company is experiencing increased labor expenses due to staffing under the Green Apron Service model, which is expected to continue affecting margins [11] Stock Performance and Valuation - SBUX shares have declined by 3% over the past year, while the industry has seen a decline of 1.9% [12] - The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 37.88, significantly above the industry average of 24.79 [16]