Trane Technologies FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Trane Technologies (NYSE: TT) - **Date of Conference**: February 17, 2026 - **Speakers**: Dave Regnery (Chair and CEO), Chris Kuehn (CFO) Key Points Industry and Market Performance - **Commercial HVAC Orders**: Orders increased by over 22% in Q4 2025, with broad-based growth across multiple verticals including data centers, higher education, healthcare, and industrial sectors [2][3] - **Strong Pipeline**: The company reported a robust pipeline, indicating strong future growth potential, particularly in the commercial HVAC business [3] - **Geographic Strength**: Growth was noted not only in North America but also in Europe, highlighting a positive trend in international markets [3] Vertical Insights - **Higher Education and Industrial Sectors**: Despite concerns regarding stimulus money and demographic pressures, the higher education sector showed resilience with order growth in 12 of 14 tracked verticals. The industrial sector is also expected to benefit from mega projects and reshoring efforts [5][9] - **K-12 Education**: A slight contraction was observed, but the overall outlook remains positive with a strong pipeline [5][8] Market Share and Competitive Position - **Market Share Confidence**: The company expressed confidence in maintaining and potentially increasing market share through continuous investment in innovation and a direct sales approach [10][12] - **System-Level Approach**: Trane Technologies emphasizes a systems approach to product development, which differentiates it from competitors who may focus on individual components [14][20] Data Center Thermal Management - **Technological Leadership**: Trane is actively engaging with key influencers in the data center space to develop future thermal management systems, ensuring that chillers remain integral to these systems [17][18] - **Liquid Cooling Solutions**: The acquisition of LiquidStack enhances Trane's position in the cooling market, particularly in the CDU space [29] Residential Market Outlook - **Production Adjustments**: The company intentionally reduced production days in the residential business to align inventory levels, anticipating a challenging Q1 2026 compared to a strong Q1 2025 [35][36] - **Price Strategy**: A price increase of up to 5% was announced, effective April 1, to offset inflation and maintain margins [39][41] European Market Strategy - **Investment in Direct Sales**: Trane has made intentional investments in its European operations, focusing on direct sales and acquisitions to strengthen its market position [42][43] Financial Performance and Guidance - **Revenue Growth**: Trane Technologies reported a compound annual growth rate of double digits, with revenue increasing from $12.5 billion five years ago to $21.3 billion [64] - **Future Opportunities**: The company sees more opportunities ahead than in the past, indicating a positive outlook for growth [65] Innovation and Technology - **Service Technician Training**: An advanced service technician training center was opened to enhance service capabilities across various product lines [22][23] - **AI Integration**: The company is leveraging AI technologies to improve service efficiency and technician knowledge [31][32] Conclusion - Trane Technologies is positioned for continued growth through strategic investments, a strong focus on innovation, and a commitment to understanding customer needs across various sectors. The company remains optimistic about its market share and future opportunities in both traditional and emerging markets.

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, reported sales were $4.8 billion, adjusted operating profit was $455 million, and adjusted EPS was $0.34, reflecting a year-over-year decline largely due to lower volumes in higher-margin CSA residential and light commercial businesses [16][17] - Total company organic sales were down about 1% for the full year, with a 9% decline in organic growth in Q4, partially offset by a 3% tailwind from foreign currency translation [16][18] - Free cash flow for Q4 was approximately $900 million, with full-year free cash flow at about $2.1 billion, aligning with expectations [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CSA segment had a challenging quarter with organic sales down 17%, while commercial sales were up 12%, but this was offset by a nearly 40% decline in residential sales [18] - The CSE segment saw organic sales down 2%, with commercial up mid-single digits, but residential and light commercial faced mid-single-digit declines [20] - The transportation segment experienced a strong quarter with 10% organic sales growth, driven by exceptional growth in container business [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, overall sales were down about 20%, with residential and light commercial down approximately 30%, while commercial in China was down mid-single digits [21] - The residential heating market in Germany, the largest market, continues to be challenging, with expectations of mid- to high-single-digit declines in the overall industry [20][46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on investing in high-return opportunities, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and returning cash to shareholders, with $3.7 billion distributed through buybacks and dividends [5] - The company aims for double-digit growth in commercial HVAC and aftermarket globally, while expecting continued softness in shorter cycle businesses [23] - Strategic initiatives include expanding data center investments, with fourth quarter CSA data center orders up more than 5x, and a focus on technology differentiation [6][7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the short cycle residential and light commercial market softened more than expected in the second half of 2025, but they are positioned for stronger incrementals when these markets recover [4][15] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations of flat to low mid-single-digit organic growth, with a focus on controlling costs and productivity [23][25] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to outgrow markets and deliver best-in-class solutions for customers [15] Other Important Information - The company expects to repurchase about $1.5 billion in shares and anticipates adjusted EPS of approximately $2.80, reflecting high single-digit growth versus 2025 [25][26] - The company has implemented cost actions expected to deliver over $100 million in savings in 2026 [5] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the CSA margins and drivers? - Management expects CSA margins in Q1 to be close to about 15%, with a slight improvement from Q4 due to lower sales and a favorable tax rate [32] Question: What is the full-year guidance for the CSA residential business? - Management anticipates industry units to be down 10%-15%, with their sales expected to be down high single digits year-over-year, including a low single-digit benefit from pricing [41][43] Question: How are channel inventories in CSA residential? - Management reported that channel inventories are down about 32% year-over-year, aligning with targeted levels [52] Question: What are the expectations for the residential market in China? - Management expects RLC softness to continue in China, with residential sales down about 20% and overall sales in China down about 30% [87] Question: How is the company preparing for the cooling season? - Management emphasized operational agility and readiness to support demand if it picks up, given low inventory levels in the channel [95]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved an 11% revenue compound annual growth rate since 2020 and a 24% adjusted EPS compound annual growth rate [7] - Adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 470 basis points, and free cash flow conversion reached 106% [7] - The fourth quarter saw organic revenue growth of 4%, with adjusted EPS growth of 10% [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Americas Commercial HVAC bookings increased by over 35% year-over-year, with a record Q4 organic bookings [8] - Applied Solutions bookings surged more than 120%, achieving a record book-to-bill ratio of 200% [8] - The services business, accounting for about one-third of enterprise revenue, has maintained a low teens compound annual growth rate since 2020 [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Americas, commercial HVAC revenue grew in low double digits, while residential bookings were up mid-single digits but revenues declined mid-teens [11] - EMEA Commercial HVAC bookings were robust, up mid-teens, with revenues up mid-single digits [12] - Asia Pacific faced challenges, particularly in China, with double-digit declines in bookings and revenue [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes a purpose-driven strategy focused on energy efficiency and sustainability, positioning itself to meet growing customer demand for smarter energy solutions [4] - Continued investment in innovation, growth, and digital capabilities is expected to drive future growth, particularly in services [10] - The company plans to deploy between $2.8 billion and $3.3 billion in 2026, with a focus on strategic M&A and share repurchases [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates a gradual recovery in residential markets and transport refrigeration, with expectations for improved performance in the second half of 2026 [10][17] - The company is optimistic about its backlog and pipeline, indicating strong visibility for future revenues [9][16] - Management remains confident in delivering differentiated long-term value and advancing sustainability initiatives [24] Other Important Information - The company completed or committed approximately $3.2 billion in capital allocation in 2025, including dividends, M&A, and share repurchases [21] - The acquisition of Stellar Energy is expected to enhance capabilities in modular design and meet growing demand for prefabricated cooling systems [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on revenue for Americas Commercial HVAC - Management expects strong growth in the first quarter, around 7%-8%, increasing to low teens in the second half of the year due to strong bookings [26][27] Question: Confidence in residential inventory normalization - Management believes inventory is now at the right level and anticipates a flat to down 5% performance in residential for 2026 [30][31] Question: Margin pressure in Q4 and future expectations - Management indicated that margins were impacted by residential deleverage but expects to see improvements in 2026 with a target of 25% or higher organic incrementals [53][54] Question: Positioning in the data center market - Management confirmed strong demand in the data center vertical and emphasized ongoing innovation in thermal management systems [57][59] Question: Pricing dynamics in the residential market - Management noted that pricing has not faded, and any declines in residential revenue are primarily due to volume rather than pricing [92][103]

Core Insights - Trane Technologies Plc reported strong Q2 2025 results with adjusted EPS of $3.88, surpassing analyst estimates and reflecting an 18% year-over-year increase [1][2] - Revenue for the quarter reached $5.75 billion, an 8% increase from the previous year, although slightly below the consensus estimate [1][2] - The company has raised its full fiscal year guidance, anticipating organic revenue growth of 8% and adjusted EPS of approximately $13.05 [10] Financial Performance - Adjusted operating margin improved to 20.3%, up 0.9 percentage points from Q2 2024 [2][7] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $1.25 billion, a 12% increase year-over-year [2] - Free cash flow for the first half of the year was $841 million, reflecting a 3.8% improvement from the previous year [2][8] Business Overview - Trane Technologies designs and manufactures climate-control solutions for various applications, with brands including Trane and Thermo King [3] - The company emphasizes sustainability and innovation, with initiatives like the "Gigaton Challenge" aimed at reducing customer greenhouse gas emissions [4] Regional Performance - The Americas segment showed strong growth, particularly in Commercial HVAC, with bookings reaching $4.54 billion, an 8% increase year-over-year [5] - In contrast, the EMEA segment experienced mixed results, with bookings up only 5% and organic bookings down 2% [5] - The Asia Pacific segment faced challenges, with bookings dropping 16% and revenue declining 7% due to weaker demand in China [5] Backlog and Capital Allocation - The global backlog stood at $7.1 billion as of June 30, 2025, a 6% increase from year-end, although it decreased sequentially by about $125 million [6] - Capital allocation for the year included $1.8 billion spent on dividends, acquisitions, share buybacks, and debt reduction [8][9] Future Outlook - Management's increased guidance reflects confidence in record backlog and resilient pricing in Commercial HVAC [10] - Investors are advised to monitor the conversion of backlog to revenue, international market progress, and developments in tariff rules [11]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved 11% organic revenue growth, 130 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, and 26% adjusted EPS growth in Q1 2025 [6][13][20] - Bookings increased by 4%, with a book-to-bill ratio of 113% for the enterprise and 100% or more across all segments [6][10] - The backlog increased by approximately $500 million from year-end 2024, including about $400 million in the Americas commercial HVAC business [6][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Americas segment, commercial HVAC bookings set a new quarterly record, with mid-teens growth in equipment and low-teens growth in services [9][10] - Residential bookings were up mid-teens, and revenues increased by high-teens [10] - Transport refrigeration bookings were down low single digits, but revenues were up mid single digits, outperforming a market decline of around 25% [10] - In the EMEA segment, commercial HVAC bookings were up mid-teens, with revenues up mid single digits [10] - In Asia Pacific, bookings and revenues in the rest of Asia were strong, up double digits and low 20s respectively, while in China, bookings and revenues were down low 30s and high 20s respectively [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Americas commercial HVAC market showed broad-based strength across various verticals, including data centers, healthcare, and education [30][56] - The EMEA transport markets are expected to decline low single digits in 2025, while the Asia market outlook remains flat overall [19][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on a purpose-driven strategy that emphasizes innovation for a sustainable world, aiming to deliver differentiated shareholder value [4][5] - The direct sales strategy allows the company to capture more market opportunities and consistently outperform end markets [7] - The company is targeting total Americas commercial HVAC three-year stacked revenue growth of approximately 50% for 2025 [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in delivering results towards the higher end of full-year revenue and EPS guidance ranges [8][20] - The company anticipates modest cost inflation but is well-prepared to manage it while minimizing customer impact [8][21] - The outlook for residential markets is expected to return to a GDP-plus framework in 2025, with no anticipated dip in volume due to pre-buy concerns [17][41] Other Important Information - The company deployed approximately $775 million through its balanced capital allocation strategy in Q1 2025, including $210 million to dividends and $550 million to share repurchases [24] - The Board of Directors approved a 12% dividend raise effective with the first quarter payment, with dividends having grown nearly 80% since the company's inception [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in commercial HVAC markets and demand - Management noted strong order rates in commercial HVAC, with broad-based strength across verticals such as data centers and healthcare, and a robust pipeline [30][31] Question: Pricing actions to offset tariff headwinds - Management explained that they are implementing price increases and surcharges to offset estimated tariff costs of $250 million to $275 million, while remaining flexible in pricing strategies [35][36] Question: Demand concentration in specific verticals - Management confirmed that growth is broad-based across 14 verticals, with no significant concentration in any one area [56] Question: European margins and investment cycle - Management indicated that significant reinvestment is ongoing in Europe, with strong order rates in commercial HVAC, and they expect margins to bounce back [92][93] Question: Impact of tariffs on pricing and guidance - Management clarified that tariff costs are not currently embedded in revenue guidance, and they will adjust guidance as more clarity on the tariff landscape emerges [112][114]