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远景田庆军:容量电价机制将重塑储能商业逻辑
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant policy breakthrough for China's new energy storage industry with the issuance of the "114 Document," which establishes a capacity pricing mechanism for independent new energy storage, marking 2026 as a pivotal year for market-oriented development in this sector [2][5]. Group 1: Policy Impact - The "114 Document" formally includes independent new energy storage in the generation-side capacity pricing mechanism, providing a clear revenue structure that enhances market confidence and supports sustainable industry development [2][6]. - The policy is expected to increase revenue by approximately 30%, providing a "bottom line" income that can cover bank interest costs, thus boosting investment confidence in the capital market [6][8]. - The document aims to clarify the role of energy storage as a key pillar for large-scale renewable energy development, addressing previous ambiguities in provincial policies [6][7]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - Despite the positive market sentiment, the industry faces challenges such as a 30% increase in investment costs since last year due to rising raw material prices, leading to a potential imbalance in supply and demand [5][8]. - There is a risk of blind expansion in production capacity, which could result in severe overcapacity and unhealthy competition in the future [5][8]. - The article highlights the need for caution against "resource occupation" risks, where companies may engage in land-grabbing without actual development, wasting critical resources [8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The policy encourages a shift from low-level "price competition" to high-level "value competition," linking the quality and safety of energy storage to its value creation capabilities [7][8]. - The capacity pricing mechanism will provide a unified and fair competitive platform for various energy storage technologies, fostering innovation and competition in the sector [7]. - Specific provincial estimates indicate that capacity pricing could yield significant annual returns, with Gansu projecting over 0.2 yuan per kWh, which will help define clear financial boundaries for investment recovery [7].
推动新型储能产业迈向更高水平
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-05-12 00:45
Core Viewpoint - The development of the new energy storage industry in China is rapidly advancing, with significant growth in installed capacity and technological diversity, positioning it as a crucial component of the new power system and a key player in achieving carbon neutrality goals [1][2][3]. Group 1: Industry Development - China's new energy storage industry has seen a rapid increase, with installed capacity exceeding 137.9 GW by the end of 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 59.9%, and new energy storage capacity reaching 78.3 GW, with a power scale growth of 126.5% [2]. - The industry has entered a phase of large-scale application, with over 280,000 registered energy storage-related businesses by the end of 2024, and a record 89,000 new registrations in 2024 [3]. - The technology landscape is diversifying, with lithium-ion batteries dominating but also significant advancements in compressed air storage, flow batteries, and sodium-ion batteries, with projects exceeding 300 MW in power scale [3]. Group 2: Challenges and Barriers - The new energy storage sector faces technical challenges, including the need for advancements in safety, cost, and lifespan of technologies, with key areas such as high-temperature membrane materials and battery recycling requiring breakthroughs [4]. - Market mechanisms are still underdeveloped, lacking a national consensus on pricing, which affects the stability and profitability of energy storage services across various applications [4][5]. - The regulatory framework and industry standards are not fully established, leading to inconsistencies in product quality and project evaluation, necessitating a comprehensive lifecycle management system for energy storage projects [5]. Group 3: Recommendations for Improvement - To enhance the new energy storage sector, there is a need for strengthened technological innovation, focusing on low-cost, long-life, and high-efficiency storage solutions, alongside the establishment of innovation centers and research hubs [6]. - A sustainable market development mechanism should be established, with clear pricing structures and supportive policies to foster a conducive environment for the energy storage industry [6][7]. - The development of technical standards and industry norms is essential, including the creation of a certification system and lifecycle management frameworks to ensure the long-term stability and safety of energy storage systems [7].