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ASML to Leverage Product Mix Shift to Drive Margins: What's Ahead?
ZACKS· 2026-01-27 15:41
Core Insights - ASML Holding is strategically increasing its gross margin, achieving 50.5% in 2023 and projecting 51.3% in 2024, with expectations of 54% to 56% in 2025 and 56% to 60% by 2030 [1][11] Group 1: Gross Margin Strategy - The company plans to enhance its gross margin by shifting its product mix towards advanced logic and DRAM, which require more advanced lithography systems [2] - ASML's productivity roadmap for low-NA systems and the launch of High-NA will help reduce technology costs and enable more multi-patterning layers to be converted into a single EUV exposure, particularly for advanced DRAM nodes [3] Group 2: Market Position and Competition - ASML is experiencing a shift in advanced chip manufacturing, moving from complex multi-patterning with DUV to single-exposure EUV, which simplifies production and improves yield [4] - The company holds a near-monopoly in EUV technology, essential for producing the world's most advanced chips at 3nm and below, providing it with significant pricing power and strategic importance [5] Group 3: Competitors - In the broader wafer fabrication equipment space, ASML competes with Lam Research and Applied Materials, both of which are gaining traction in the memory segment and advanced semiconductor manufacturing technologies [6][7][8] Group 4: Financial Performance - ASML shares have increased by 93.6% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the Computer and Technology sector's growth of 14.4% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 13.34X, higher than the sector average of 7.32X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ASML's fiscal 2025 and 2026 earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 40.7% and 7.7%, respectively, with recent upward revisions in estimates [14]