Each week we run a DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) model on a company from our watchlist. This week’s pick: Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).ProfileCaterpillar is the world’s largest manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and locomotives. The company benefits from its global scale, durable brand, and broad dealer network that supports recurring parts and services revenue. While Caterpillar is cyclical, tied to commodity and infrastructure cycles, its rob ...

LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 09: The CAT, Caterpillar company logo is displayed during the Security Equipment International (DSEI) at London Excel on September 10, 2025 in London, England. (Photo by John Keeble/Getty Images)Getty ImagesCaterpillar stock (NYSE: CAT) has surged 16% in a month, driven by strong fundamentals, including robust demand and a substantial order backlog that signals strong business momentum and future revenue. This upward movement is reinforced by positive technical momentum, as the s ...

Financial giants have made a conspicuous bullish move on Caterpillar. Our analysis of options history for Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) revealed 27 unusual trades.Delving into the details, we found 44% of traders were bullish, while 44% showed bearish tendencies. Out of all the trades we spotted, 14 were puts, with a value of $837,513, and 13 were calls, valued at $657,710.What's The Price Target?After evaluating the trading volumes and Open Interest, it's evident that the major market movers are focusing on a pri ...

Company Overview - Caterpillar is a global leader in industrial equipment, providing a diverse product portfolio and integrated solutions across construction, mining, and energy markets, which offers resilience and growth opportunities [5] - As of June 30, 2025, Caterpillar's market capitalization is $193.35 billion, with a revenue of $63.14 billion and a net income of $9.44 billion [4] Recent Developments - Pacer Advisors, Inc. sold 1,376,018 shares of Caterpillar, reducing its holdings to 38,262 shares valued at $15.79 million, with the estimated trade value of the sale being $458.56 million [1][6] - Caterpillar now represents only 0.04% of Pacer Advisors' 13F assets under management [2] Financial Metrics - As of August 12, 2025, Caterpillar's dividend yield is 1.39%, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio for fiscal year 2026 at 19.17 and an enterprise value to EBITDA of 15.91 [3] - The company has a five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 3.8% [3] Performance Insights - Caterpillar shares were priced at $412.71 as of August 12, 2025, reflecting a 14.7% increase over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 by 3.3 percentage points [2] - The power generation business saw a revenue growth of 28% year-over-year in the second quarter, driven by increased data center spending [7] Challenges - Management anticipates flat services revenue for the full year 2024, which is crucial for reducing earnings cyclicality [8] - Operating profit has declined by 18% in the second quarter due to tariff cost headwinds and unfavorable price realization [9] - The potential for a commodity supercycle to benefit Caterpillar's sales remains uncertain, and the stock is currently trading at over 24 times estimated free cash flow for 2025, indicating it may not be an excellent value stock [9]

Core Viewpoint - Caterpillar Inc. is set to release its second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 5, 2025, at 5:30 a.m. CDT, with the full text available on its investor website and through PR Newswire [1]. Group 1: Financial Results Announcement - The financial results will be furnished to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) via a Current Report on Form 8-K [1]. - A teleconference and webcast for discussing the quarterly results will begin at 7:30 a.m. CDT on the same day [2]. - Supporting materials for the webcast will be available prior to the event on the investor website [2]. Group 2: Access Information - The conference call can be accessed via telephone with a specific conference ID, and both domestic and international dial-in numbers are provided [3]. - For those unable to attend the live event, a replay will be available shortly after the broadcast on the investor website, but no telephone replay will be offered [4]. Group 3: Company Overview - Caterpillar Inc. reported sales and revenues of $64.8 billion in 2024, positioning itself as the leading manufacturer in construction and mining equipment, as well as other industrial products [5]. - The company operates through three primary segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, and Energy & Transportation, along with a Financial Products segment [5]. - Caterpillar is committed to sustainability and reducing carbon emissions, contributing to a more sustainable future [5].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of dividends in investment strategies, highlighting that even renowned investors like Warren Buffett recognize their value, despite Berkshire Hathaway not paying dividends [1] Company Summaries - **Pfizer**: Pfizer has a recent dividend yield of 7.1%, with total annual dividends increasing from $1.20 in 2016 to $1.70 recently. Despite poor stock performance averaging annual gains of 1.84% over the past decade, the company has a promising drug pipeline and a low forward P/E ratio of 8.3 compared to its five-year average of 10.2 [4] - **Caterpillar**: Caterpillar offers a dividend yield of 1.56%, above the S&P 500's yield of approximately 1.25%. The company has shown solid long-term performance with average annual gains of 17.6% over the past decade, and its total annual dividend has grown from $3.28 in 2018 to $5.64 recently [5] - **United Parcel Service (UPS)**: UPS has a dividend yield of 6.5%, with total payouts increasing from $3.64 in 2018 to $6.54 recently. The stock has had an average annual gain of 4.24% over the past decade, although growth has slowed recently due to economic uncertainties and competition from Amazon [6][7] - **Chevron**: Chevron's recent dividend yield stands at 4.78%, with total annual payouts rising from $4.76 in 2019 to $6.68 recently. The stock has averaged 14.2% annual growth over the past five years, supported by significant share buybacks and diversification in energy production and refining [8] ETF Considerations - The article suggests considering dividend-focused ETFs for investment, listing several options with their recent yields and average annual returns: - iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF (PFF): 6.68% yield, 5-year average return of 3.22% - Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD): 3.97% yield, 5-year average return of 13.34% - Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV): 3.02% yield, 5-year average return of 17.91% - Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM): 2.86% yield, 5-year average return of 14.60% [9]

Group 1: America First Strategy - President Trump's "America First" policy emphasizes prioritizing national interests, boosting domestic manufacturing, and protecting key industries from unfair trade practices and foreign competition [1] - Trump's tariffs and trade actions are integral to the America First strategy, renewing investor interest in long-established American companies [2] Group 2: NextEra Energy - NextEra Energy, known as "America's energy company," owns Florida Power & Light Company, serving over 6 million customers [4] - The company generates over 50% of its electricity from renewables, 36% from natural gas, and 8% from nuclear energy, positioning it well for the anticipated rise in renewable energy [5] - NextEra Energy has a renewables and energy storage backlog of over 27 gigawatts (GW) and plans to develop up to 46.5 GW of new capacity by 2027 [8] - The company plans to invest nearly $120 billion in energy infrastructure over the next four years, aiming for a 10% annual dividend growth through at least 2026 [9] Group 3: Caterpillar - Caterpillar is a leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, recognized globally for its yellow machinery [10] - Despite being a cyclical stock, Caterpillar has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 over the years, especially with reinvested dividends, and has increased its dividend for 31 consecutive years [11][14] - The company generated nearly $65 billion in sales in 2024 and returned almost $40 billion of free cash flows to shareholders since 2019 through dividends and share buybacks [14] - Caterpillar's diverse end markets, extensive dealership network across 190 countries, and strong capital allocation have contributed to its resilience amid tariff uncertainties [13][15]

Core Insights - Caterpillar Inc. will host its 2025 Investor Day on November 4, 2025, in the Dallas area, where CEO Joe Creed and the executive leadership team will discuss strategic priorities and growth opportunities for the next century [1] Company Overview - Caterpillar Inc. reported sales and revenues of $64.8 billion for 2024, making it the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives [3] - The company operates on every continent through three primary segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, and Energy & Transportation, while also providing financing and related services through its Financial Products segment [3] - Caterpillar is committed to contributing to a reduced-carbon future and has been helping customers build a more sustainable world for 100 years [3]

Group 1 - Caterpillar Inc. has increased its quarterly dividend by $0.10, representing a 7% increase, bringing the total to $1.51 per share, payable on August 20 to shareholders of record as of July 21 [1] - The company aims to return substantially all Machinery, Energy & Transportation (ME&T) free cash flow to shareholders over time through dividends and share repurchases [1] - Caterpillar has a strong history of dividend payments, having paid cash dividends every year since its formation and higher annual dividends for 31 consecutive years, making it a member of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index [2] Group 2 - In 2024, Caterpillar reported sales and revenues of $64.8 billion, solidifying its position as the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, as well as other industrial products [3] - The company operates through three primary segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, and Energy & Transportation, and also provides financing and related services through its Financial Products segment [3] - Caterpillar is committed to contributing to a reduced-carbon future and has been helping customers build a more sustainable world for 100 years [3]

Core Insights - Caterpillar Inc. released its 2024 Annual and Sustainability Reports, highlighting significant advancements across all business segments and a commitment to sustainability [1][2] - The company has invested over $30 billion in research and development over the past 20 years, focusing on innovation to meet rising global demand for energy and critical minerals [2] - Caterpillar's strategy for long-term profitable growth emphasizes services, operational excellence, and sustainability, with ongoing progress towards its 2030 sustainability goals [2] Investment and Growth Strategy - The reports detail Caterpillar's focus on expanding offerings and operational excellence as part of its strategy for profitable growth [2] - The company is well-positioned to meet global infrastructure needs and capitalize on emerging technologies [2] - Caterpillar aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, increase sales of remanufactured products, and prioritize employee health and safety as part of its sustainability goals [2] Customer Empowerment - Caterpillar's success is linked to its dealer network, customers, and employees, providing comprehensive solutions to maximize equipment performance [3] - The company offers hands-on training, support, and maintenance to help customers achieve their sustainability objectives [3] Community Investment - Caterpillar and its employees are committed to improving lives globally through the Caterpillar Foundation, focusing on skills development, sustainable infrastructure, and disaster preparedness [4] Sustainability Reporting - The 2024 Sustainability Report integrates various reports into a single document for easier access to information for employees and stakeholders [5] Company Overview - Caterpillar reported sales and revenues of $64.8 billion in 2024, maintaining its position as a leading manufacturer in construction and mining equipment [6] - The company operates through three primary segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, and Energy & Transportation, along with a Financial Products segment [6]