Group 1: Earnings Performance - United Parcel Service (UPS) reported quarterly earnings of $1.55 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.56 per share, and down from $1.79 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -0.64% [1] - UPS posted revenues of $21.22 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.77%, but down from $21.82 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, UPS has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - UPS shares have lost about 19.5% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 8.6% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to these expectations [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $1.60 on $21 billion in revenues, and $7.05 on $87.34 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year [7] Group 3: Industry Context - The Transportation - Air Freight and Cargo industry, to which UPS belongs, is currently in the bottom 22% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stock performance [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, suggesting that UPS's stock may underperform in the near future based on current estimates [5][6]

Group 1 - UPS reported quarterly earnings of $1.49 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.44 per share, and showing an increase from $1.43 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 3.47% [1] - The company posted revenues of $21.55 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.30%, although this is a decrease from year-ago revenues of $21.71 billion [2] - UPS has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters, but has only topped consensus revenue estimates once in the same period [2] Group 2 - The stock has underperformed, losing about 23% since the beginning of the year, compared to a decline of 6% in the S&P 500 [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.84 on revenues of $21.34 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $7.68 on revenues of $87.9 billion [7] - The Transportation - Air Freight and Cargo industry, to which UPS belongs, is currently ranked in the top 34% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8]