Group 1 - Murphy USA's shares have declined by 15% over the past year due to concerns regarding consumer spending at its convenience stores [1] - The company has been a disappointing performer in the market, reflecting broader economic challenges [1] Group 2 - The analysis indicates a contrarian investment approach based on macroeconomic views and stock-specific turnaround stories [1]

Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools and services to help investors achieve long-term success in the stock market [1] - The Zacks Focus List is a curated portfolio of 50 stocks expected to outperform the market over the next 12 months [3][4] Performance Metrics - In 2020, the Focus List gained 13.85% on an annualized basis, outperforming the S&P 500's return of 9.38% [5] - Cumulatively, the Focus List has returned 2,519.23% from February 1, 1996, to March 31, 2021, compared to the S&P's return of 854.95% during the same period [5] Methodology - The Focus List is based on earnings estimate revisions, which are critical for predicting future growth and profitability [6][7] - The Zacks Rank, a proprietary stock-rating model, utilizes changes in quarterly earnings expectations to help build a winning portfolio [8] Zacks Rank Components - The Zacks Rank consists of four main pillars: Agreement, Magnitude, Upside, and Surprise, which are recalculated nightly [9] - Stocks in the Focus List are primarily from 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) ranked companies, indicating a bullish earnings consensus among analysts [9] Case Study: Casey's General Stores - Casey's General Stores, added to the Focus List at $171.98 per share, has seen a share price increase of 167.93% to $460.78 [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Casey's earnings has increased to $13.95, with an average earnings surprise of 22.7% [13]