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The AI frenzy is driving a new global supply chain crisis
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-12-03 02:01
Core Insights - The global shortage of memory chips is significantly impacting both artificial intelligence and consumer electronics sectors, leading to soaring prices and supply constraints [6][8][18] Industry Overview - Average inventory levels for DRAM suppliers have decreased from 13-17 weeks in late 2024 to 2-4 weeks in October 2023, indicating a tightening supply chain [1] - The shortage is affecting various types of memory, including flash chips and high-bandwidth memory (HBM), with prices in some segments more than doubling since February 2023 [4][18] - Major tech companies like Nvidia, Google, Microsoft, and Alibaba are competing for limited supplies, which has led to a significant increase in demand for advanced chips [2][5][16] Economic Implications - The memory shortage has escalated from a component-level issue to a macroeconomic risk, potentially slowing AI-driven productivity gains and delaying investments in digital infrastructure [3] - Economists warn that the ongoing supply crisis could contribute to inflationary pressures in economies already grappling with rising prices [3] Company Actions - Companies like Samsung and SK Hynix are expanding production capacity to meet the increased demand for memory chips, although new factories for conventional chips will not be operational until 2027 or 2028 [8][17] - Micron and other firms are facing pressure to fulfill open-ended orders from major tech companies, with some firms reporting that all their chips are sold out for 2026 [16][17] Market Dynamics - The competition from Chinese manufacturers producing lower-end DRAM has prompted South Korean firms to shift focus towards higher-margin products [12] - Price increases have led to warnings from Chinese smartphone makers about potential price hikes of 20-30% for their devices due to rising memory costs [20] Consumer Impact - Retailers in Japan are limiting purchases of memory products to prevent hoarding, and prices for popular memory products have surged significantly [23][24] - Taiwanese laptop maker ASUS has indicated it will adjust pricing in response to the memory component shortages [21] Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the memory shortfall could persist through late 2027, with significant implications for future data center projects and overall market stability [8][17]