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Which Will Come First: Palantir Technologies Hitting $1 Trillion or Nvidia Reaching $5 Trillion?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-07-18 10:00
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia and Palantir have experienced significant stock price increases, with Nvidia's market cap at $4.2 trillion and Palantir's at approximately $360 billion, raising questions about their future growth potential [2][11]. Nvidia - Nvidia has seen a 19% increase needed to reach a $5 trillion market cap, which is considered plausible given its dominance in the AI chip market and high demand for its products [4][5]. - The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 38, with profit margins exceeding 50%, indicating strong earnings growth potential [5]. - If market conditions remain favorable, Nvidia could reach the $5 trillion milestone by the end of next year, or even sooner if AI excitement increases [6]. Palantir - Palantir would need to nearly triple in value to reach a $1 trillion market cap, a challenging task despite a 430% surge in the past year [7]. - The company expects revenue of around $3.9 billion for the year, reflecting a 36% increase from 2024, driven by its role in the AI sector [8]. - Palantir's stock trades at a forward P/E of 260, which investors seem to overlook in favor of perceived growth opportunities [9]. Investment Comparison - Nvidia is viewed as a better investment due to solid fundamentals and a dominant position in the AI chip market, while Palantir's valuation is seen as speculative and vulnerable to market fluctuations [11][13]. - Palantir's stock performance is heavily influenced by retail investor sentiment, making it susceptible to sell-offs during economic downturns [12].