Summary of Global Datacenter Supply/Demand Update Industry Overview - The report focuses on the global datacenter industry, highlighting supply and demand dynamics influenced by AI infrastructure developments and partnerships from major players like Nvidia, OpenAI, and Oracle [1][2][3]. Key Insights Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global datacenter supply/demand model indicates that tight conditions are expected to persist into 2026, with peak occupancy levels extending beyond previous forecasts [3][13]. - Current occupancy rates for outsourced datacenter providers remain elevated, with lease prices rising faster than build cost inflation [2][3]. - The forecast suggests a gradual loosening of supply/demand balance starting in 2027, but demand growth may keep occupancy rates high for an extended period [3][4]. Demand Forecast - As of Q3 2025, global datacenter demand is estimated at approximately 69 GW, with a projected growth of 45% to 100 GW by 2027. AI workloads are expected to increase from 14% to 30% of the overall market [15][20]. - AI workloads are forecasted to grow at a 104% CAGR from Q4 2022 to Q4 2026, while traditional workloads are expected to grow at a modest 2% [16][22]. Supply Forecast - The current global datacenter market capacity is approximately 75 GW, with a forecasted increase to about 150 GW by 2030, reflecting a 6-year CAGR of ~15% [23][31]. - Significant capacity additions include 2 GW for Homer City and 5.6 GW planned by hyperscalers through 2030 [12][31]. Risks and Uncertainties - Potential demand trajectory shifts are monitored, particularly concerning AI monetization and supply disruptions from large-scale AI initiatives [4][18]. - Scenarios analyzed include "AI downside," "cloud downside," and "excess supply," which could significantly impact demand and occupancy forecasts [50][55][59]. Implications for Datacenter Operators Digital Realty (DLR) - DLR is positioned to benefit from strong pricing power due to supply constraints and increasing demand for power-intensive infrastructure driven by AI workloads [65][66]. - The company has a 700 MW development pipeline and is leveraging strategic joint ventures to maintain financial flexibility while expanding capacity [67][68]. Equinix (EQIX) - EQIX focuses on retail colocation and is well-positioned to benefit from the transition to AI inference workloads, with a robust interconnection ecosystem [69][71]. - The company plans to accelerate capital investments to address supply constraints and capitalize on long-term market trends [72][73]. Iron Mountain (IRM) - IRM has a growing data center business, with a current operational capacity of approximately 1.3 GW and plans for significant expansion [74][76]. - The company anticipates strong data center revenue growth driven by AI deployments, with a focus on long-term contracts with hyperscale clients [77][78]. China Datacenter Operators (GDS and VNET) - China's datacenter market is experiencing rapid capacity growth, with expectations to reach 30 GW by 2025, driven by AI and cloud demand [83][84]. - GDS and VNET are positioned for growth, with VNET transitioning to a wholesale IDC operator and GDS focusing on expanding capacity to meet demand [85][86]. Conclusion - The global datacenter market is poised for substantial growth driven by AI and cloud workloads, with supply constraints expected to persist into 2026. Key players are strategically positioned to capitalize on these trends, although risks and uncertainties remain regarding demand sustainability and potential supply disruptions.