JD.com, Inc. | Asia Pacific 2Q25 Preview - Most Affected by the Food Delivery War | What's Changed | | | | --- | --- | --- | | JD.com, Inc. (JD.O) | From | To | | Price Target | US$39.00 | US$28.00 | We expect JD to have invested over Rmb10bn in food delivery in 2Q25, leading to a 63% YoY decline in non-GAAP NP. However, we see no signs of cross-selling or other synergies from such an investment to the core EC business, given no meaningful JDR revenue growth acceleration QoQ or margin improvement. 2Q25 prev ...

Core Viewpoint - DoorDash is increasing service fees for deliveries in Seattle due to new city regulations affecting app-based worker pay and account deactivations, which the company claims are leading to higher operational costs [1][2][5]. Group 1: Service Fee Increase - The specific amount of the fee increase has not been disclosed, but it will take effect later this month, impacting customers already facing high delivery costs [2]. - This is not the first price hike; DoorDash previously implemented a flat $5 service fee following a 2022 law guaranteeing minimum wage for app-based workers in Seattle [7]. Group 2: Impact of Regulations - Seattle's law mandates that delivery workers earn nearly $30 an hour before tips and mileage, which is significantly above the minimum wage [5]. - The company has reported a substantial decline in business due to these regulations, with Dashers receiving half as many delivery offers and experiencing three times longer wait times for potential deliveries [8]. Group 3: Financial Performance - DoorDash reported operating at a loss in Seattle in 2024, despite generating $10.7 billion in revenue nationwide [10]. - Local businesses in Seattle experienced a 2% drop in revenue, contrasting with a 10% increase in cities like Denver, Portland, and San Francisco, where service fees are lower [10].

Group 1 - DoorDash has seen a significant performance increase of over 120% over the last year, approaching all-time highs, indicating strong market interest and potential growth [1] - The company is viewed as a compelling platform business with a long runway for growth, suggesting that there are still opportunities for expansion and profitability [1] - The author has a background in equity and real estate markets, emphasizing a focus on identifying long-only investment opportunities that provide safe and growing dividends [1] Group 2 - The author has extensive experience in real estate investment, having sourced over $100 million in commercial real estate investments, which adds credibility to the analysis of DoorDash [1] - The emphasis on correlation across asset classes and sectors, along with a background in economics, supports the analysis of market trends and investment strategies [1] - The article aims to provide timely analyses and strategies for investors looking to enhance their portfolios, reflecting a commitment to sharing insights on market opportunities [1]

Pershing Square Capital Management's billionaire chief has sold most of his fund's stake in Chipotle over seven years, and is now piling into his new favorite stock. For some investors, earnings season is the highlight of each quarter. This is the six-week period where most S&P 500 companies report their quarterly operating results, which gives investors a good bead on the health of corporate America and Wall Street. But an argument can be made that the quarterly filing of Form 13Fs with the Securities and ...

Key Takeaways NWN's 2025 sales expectation is $1.30B, up 13.1% year over year, with EPS estimates also trending higher. A 2.2% Q1 customer growth rate and infrastructure upgrades support long-term earnings potential. NWN has raised dividends for 69 straight years, with a current annualized payout of $1.96 per share.Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) continues to benefit from its investments in infrastructure upgrades. The company also gains from the consistent expansion of its customer base. Given it ...

ab Global Research owered by UBS Evidence Lab YES P 2 July 2025 China Logistics Sector APAC Focus: Parcel pricing near bottom, prefer smaller players on vol. and margin expansion Investors are increasingly concerned about the pricing dynamics in China's parcel industry. However, we believe price competition will largely stabilise, supported by UBS Evidence Lab survey (> Access Dataset) and our supply-demand analysis. We expect ZTO, YTO, STO, Yunda and J&T (Tongda) in aggregate to deliver a 2024-27E earnings ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of dividends in investment strategies, highlighting that even renowned investors like Warren Buffett recognize their value, despite Berkshire Hathaway not paying dividends [1] Company Summaries - **Pfizer**: Pfizer has a recent dividend yield of 7.1%, with total annual dividends increasing from $1.20 in 2016 to $1.70 recently. Despite poor stock performance averaging annual gains of 1.84% over the past decade, the company has a promising drug pipeline and a low forward P/E ratio of 8.3 compared to its five-year average of 10.2 [4] - **Caterpillar**: Caterpillar offers a dividend yield of 1.56%, above the S&P 500's yield of approximately 1.25%. The company has shown solid long-term performance with average annual gains of 17.6% over the past decade, and its total annual dividend has grown from $3.28 in 2018 to $5.64 recently [5] - **United Parcel Service (UPS)**: UPS has a dividend yield of 6.5%, with total payouts increasing from $3.64 in 2018 to $6.54 recently. The stock has had an average annual gain of 4.24% over the past decade, although growth has slowed recently due to economic uncertainties and competition from Amazon [6][7] - **Chevron**: Chevron's recent dividend yield stands at 4.78%, with total annual payouts rising from $4.76 in 2019 to $6.68 recently. The stock has averaged 14.2% annual growth over the past five years, supported by significant share buybacks and diversification in energy production and refining [8] ETF Considerations - The article suggests considering dividend-focused ETFs for investment, listing several options with their recent yields and average annual returns: - iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF (PFF): 6.68% yield, 5-year average return of 3.22% - Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD): 3.97% yield, 5-year average return of 13.34% - Fidelity High Dividend ETF (FDVV): 3.02% yield, 5-year average return of 17.91% - Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM): 2.86% yield, 5-year average return of 14.60% [9]

Core Viewpoint - United Parcel Service (UPS) is experiencing a stock recovery after a challenging year, with a recent gain of over 5% in the last month, outperforming the S&P 500 index [1][2] Financial Performance - UPS reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.49 for Q1 2025, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.38 and reflecting a 4.2% increase year-over-year [3] - The company's adjusted operating margin is at 8.2%, indicating improved operational efficiency despite a slight dip in overall revenue [4] Strategic Focus - UPS's management strategy, termed "better, not bigger," emphasizes securing more profitable deliveries rather than merely increasing package volume [6] - Revenue in the U.S. Domestic segment grew by 1.4% to $14.46 billion, driven by a 4.5% increase in revenue per piece, showcasing effective pricing power [6] Market Position - UPS plays a crucial role in the global economy, providing a reliable logistics network amid complex supply chains and shifting trade policies [7] - The company is a vital partner for businesses of all sizes, enhancing its position in high-value areas such as healthcare product shipping [8] Dividend and Valuation - UPS offers a dividend yield of 6.51%, with an annual dividend of $6.56 and a 16-year track record of maintaining or increasing dividends [9][11] - The stock is currently trading near $100, significantly below its 52-week high of over $148, suggesting potential for recovery not yet reflected in its price [11] Future Outlook - Analysts express cautious optimism regarding UPS's rebound, supported by a disciplined cost reduction plan of $3.5 billion for 2025 and a favorable valuation with a P/E ratio of 12.66 [10][11]

Asia Pacific Equity Research 23 June 2025 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. S.F. Holding Co. Ltd - A/H How the leader stays ahead? May operation data sheds some light SF Holdings has defied expectations with its remarkable performance in the lo ...

Key Takeaways UPS is trading above industry and rival valuations, with a forward P/E of 13.15X. A 6.6% dividend yield and aggressive buybacks underscore UPS's strong shareholder return focus. Revenue weakness, high labor costs, and falling volumes weigh on earnings and margin outlook.United Parcel Service (UPS) is currently considered relatively overvalued, trading at a forward 12-month price to earnings (P/E) of 13.15X. This figure surpasses the Zacks Transportation—Air Freight and Cargo industry average ...