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SMCI's Rack-Scale AI Strategy: Is it the Next Growth Engine?
ZACKS· 2025-12-24 16:06
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is increasing its internal power capacity to 52 megawatts and aims to scale its rack capacity to 6,000 racks per month, including 3,000 direct liquid cooling racks, to meet rising demand for AI and HPC workloads [1][10] Company Overview - SMCI provides rack-scale compute architecture for large-scale AI training, enterprise AI inference, visualization, content delivery, and AI edge applications, utilizing advanced NVIDIA technologies [2] - The company is establishing new facilities in the United States, Taiwan, Malaysia, the Netherlands, and the Middle East specifically for rack-level production, which is a key component of its data center building block strategy [3] Financial Performance - Despite the increasing demand for rack-scale products, SMCI experienced a revenue decline in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 due to shipment delays caused by a custom rack platform upgrade [4] - The company has nearly tripled its revenues over the past two years, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues projected at $36.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 66% [5][10] Competitive Landscape - SMCI competes with Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise in the AI and data center market, both of which are significant suppliers of servers and storage systems [6] - Dell offers solutions like the Integrated Rack 5000 and 7000 Series, while Hewlett Packard Enterprise provides the ProLiant series [7] Valuation Metrics - SMCI's shares have decreased by 34% over the past six months, contrasting with a 65.9% growth in the Zacks Computer – Storage Devices industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.46, which is lower than the industry average of 1.81 [11] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's earnings in fiscal 2026 and 2027 indicates a year-over-year increase of approximately 3.58% and 41.5%, respectively, although estimates for fiscal 2026 earnings have been revised downward recently [13]