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Goosehead Insurance(GSHD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-22 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue grew 16% year over year to $90.4 million, with core revenue increasing 14% to $83.9 million [29] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter grew 14% to $29.7 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33% compared to 34% a year ago [33] - Client retention improved to 85%, up from 84% for four consecutive quarters [30] - Total written premiums for the quarter were $1.2 billion, up 15% from a year ago [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Franchise premiums were $976 million, an increase of 18%, while corporate premiums were $206 million, a 1% increase from a year ago [31] - Franchise producers at quarter end were 2,124, up 1% from a year ago, with producers per franchise growing 6% [23] - The corporate team generated new business commissions growth of 20% year over year, accelerating from 13% in the second quarter [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The industry has over $530 billion in total written premium annually, with the company growing from over $2 billion in premiums in 2022 to over $4 billion in 2025 [7] - The company still represents less than 1% of total market share, indicating significant growth potential [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to become the largest distributor of personal lines insurance in the U.S. and has identified five key strategic initiatives to support this goal [10] - The digital agent technology is expected to revolutionize personal lines insurance distribution, allowing for a more seamless client experience [15] - The company plans to invest between $25 million and $35 million annually in the digital agent platform for 2026 and 2027 [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about entering a stable pricing cycle, which is expected to improve client retention and overall business efficiency [17] - The company anticipates continued acceleration in revenue growth and premium growth in 2026 [65] - Management highlighted the importance of technology investments and partnerships in driving future growth [20] Other Important Information - The company repurchased and retired 685,000 Class A shares, utilizing $58.7 million of its share repurchase authorization [34] - The company expects total revenues for 2025 to be between $350 million and $385 million, representing organic growth of 11% to 22% [34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you break out the margin profile of franchise versus corporate versus enterprise? - The enterprise sales business is expected to have a more impactful margin profile over the long term compared to corporate or franchise business [37] Question: How many carriers are involved in the digital agent? - Currently, there are about 12 carriers integrated with the digital agent, and major carriers are supportive of the integration [42][44] Question: What is the outlook for home sales and how does it affect written premium? - The housing market remains depressed, but the company is building a referral partner network to capture lead flow [47] Question: What is the expected growth in producer count? - Producer count is expected to grow consistently, with a focus on quality over quantity [54] Question: Why is the revenue trajectory not more upbeat? - The company is optimistic about the direction of the business, but is cautious due to the variability in contingent commissions [58] Question: What needs to happen to reach the high end of revenue guidance? - The contingent commissions are variable, and the company is optimistic about potential upside based on current market conditions [70] Question: How will the digital agent impact growth? - The digital agent is expected to allow for significant market penetration and could drive total written premium growth of over 40% in the next five years [76]