Core Insights - Popular, Inc. (BPOP) is experiencing revenue stability, growth in net interest income (NII), a robust liquidity profile, and consistent capital distributions [1] - Analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings growth, with upward revisions in earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 [1] Revenue and Growth - BPOP's total revenues have achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.6% from 2020 to 2024, with net loans growing at a CAGR of 6.8% and deposits at 3.4% during the same period [2] - In Q1 2025, BPOP continued to see year-over-year increases in revenue, loans, and deposits, indicating strong organic growth potential [3] Net Interest Income and Margin - The company's NII has shown a four-year CAGR of 5.3%, with the net interest margin (NIM) increasing from 2.88% in 2021 to 3.24% in 2024 [3] - Management anticipates continued growth in NII and NIM, projecting a 7-9% increase in NII for the full year 2025 [4] Earnings Performance - BPOP has recorded EPS growth of 6.05% over the last three to five years, surpassing the industry average of 5.27% [5] - Projected EPS growth rates for 2025 and 2026 are 17.11% and 19.97%, respectively, indicating strong earnings momentum [6] Strategic Initiatives - The company launched a multi-year transformation initiative in 2022, focusing on technology investments and digital transformation to enhance client experience and operational efficiency [9][10] - BPOP aims for a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 14% by 2025, supported by these strategic initiatives [8] Liquidity and Capital Distribution - As of March 31, 2025, BPOP's liquidity stood at $6.6 billion, with total debt at $1.4 billion, reflecting a conservative balance sheet [11] - The company has increased its quarterly dividend by 12.9% to $0.70 per share and has a share repurchase program with $160 million available under authorization [12][13]

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