Digital tester STS8600
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华峰测控-数字测试机 STS8600 扩张,受益于中国人工智能需求增长;“买入” 评级
2025-10-09 02:00
Summary of AccoTest (688200.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: AccoTest (688200.SS) - **Industry**: Semiconductor Testing Equipment Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - AccoTest is positioned to benefit from the rising demand for AI in China, particularly through its digital/SoC tester STS8600 designed for AI chips with higher computing power [1][2] - The company is expanding its product offerings to include high-end testing systems, which are essential for the growing ASIC and GPU markets [1][2] Product Development and Demand - The STS8600 digital tester was launched in 2023 and is currently undergoing product verification with clients, which is a complex process due to the nature of digital SoC [2] - There is a strong momentum in local ASIC and GPU markets, driving the demand for high-end testers [2] Financial Performance and Earnings Revision - Earnings for 2026 and 2027 have been revised upwards by 3% and 4% respectively, primarily due to increased revenues from the STS8600 digital testers [3] - The gross margin (GM) is expected to remain stable, while the operating expense (Opex) ratio is revised down by 0.5 and 0.7 percentage points for 2026 and 2027, reflecting improved efficiency [3] Financial Projections - **Revenue Projections**: - 2025E: Rmb 1,259 million - 2026E: Rmb 1,707 million (up 2% from previous estimate) - 2027E: Rmb 1,987 million (up 3% from previous estimate) [4] - **Net Income Projections**: - 2025E: Rmb 499 million - 2026E: Rmb 763 million (up 3% from previous estimate) - 2027E: Rmb 924 million (up 4% from previous estimate) [4] Valuation and Price Target - The target price (TP) has been raised to Rmb 276 from Rmb 245, based on a new target P/E multiple of 49.3x, reflecting a market re-rating due to rising capex in the semiconductor sector [6][9] - The new target P/E multiple aligns with the company's historical trading range and is supported by a projected net income growth of 37% for 2026-27 [6][9] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include slower-than-expected ramp-up of SoC test equipment, weaker demand than anticipated, and intensified competition from local peers [16] - If competitors adopt aggressive pricing strategies, AccoTest may face market share loss and margin pressure [16] Conclusion - AccoTest is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing AI demand in China through its innovative testing solutions, with positive financial projections and a strong market outlook. However, the company must navigate potential risks associated with competition and market dynamics [1][2][16]