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Can AECOM's $24.6B Backlog Weather Economic and Policy Shocks?
ZACKS· 2025-08-16 03:01
Core Insights - AECOM's growth is supported by strong public infrastructure spending in the U.S., driven by federal and state initiatives, enhancing revenue visibility [1][3] - The company's focus on sustainability and innovation aligns with client priorities and global trends, further driving growth [2][7] - AECOM faces challenges from macroeconomic uncertainties and potential project delays, particularly in government contracts [2][9] Public Spending Trends - The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) of $1.2 trillion has led to increased public infrastructure demand, with only 36% of the funding spent so far, indicating long-term revenue potential for AECOM [3] - Similar trends are observed in international markets, with the U.K. government announcing a £725 billion investment strategy, and Canada aiming to expedite public infrastructure projects by 60% [4] Financial Performance - AECOM's backlog reached $24.59 billion in Q3 fiscal 2025, a 5% increase from $23.36 billion in the previous year, with net service revenues (NSR) growing 6% to $1.938 billion [5][9] - The Americas segment saw an 8% year-over-year growth, while the International segment grew by 3% [5][9] Competitive Positioning - AECOM's investment in leadership, technical development, and AI capabilities provides a competitive edge, enabling the company to secure large and complex projects [6] - The company aims for 5-8% organic NSR growth annually, with adjusted operating margin and EBITDA margin expansion of 20-30 basis points [6] Sustainability and Innovation - AECOM's focus on digital water systems and energy-efficient infrastructure addresses a $70 billion market opportunity through 2030, particularly in the U.S. and U.K. [7][10] - The company was recently selected for a significant metering project, highlighting the demand for accurate water management solutions [10]