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Is Unum Group Stock Worth Buying Post its Recent Dividend Hike
ZACKSยท 2025-05-23 18:58
Core Viewpoint - Unum Group has approved a 10% increase in its dividend, making it an attractive option for yield-seeking investors due to its higher dividend yield compared to the industry average [1][2]. Group 1: Dividend and Capital Deployment - The recent dividend hike marks the 16th increase in the last 15 years, with a 10-year CAGR of 10.8% [2]. - The company estimates a dividend payout of $300-$330 million in 2025 [2]. - Unum Group has a strong capital and liquidity position, supported by cash flow generation, which instills confidence in its capital deployment strategy [2][4]. Group 2: Share Buybacks - Unum Group has been actively buying back shares, with a $200 million repurchase in Q1 2025 and plans for at least the same amount in Q2 [3]. - A $1 billion buyback program was approved, starting on April 1, 2025, with expectations to buy back $0.5-$1 billion in shares throughout 2025 [3]. Group 3: Operational Performance - Unum Group is the leading disability income writer and the second-largest writer of voluntary business in the U.S., demonstrating strong operating performance across key insurance segments [5]. - The two primary divisions, Unum U.S. and Colonial Life, have shown ongoing growth in operating income, driven by disciplined sales efforts and increasing premium income [6]. Group 4: Growth Projections - The company forecasts high-single-digit sales growth and 4% to 7% premium growth over the long term, with earnings growth expected between 6% and 10% for 2025 [7]. - Unum Group maintains a robust capital position, with a return on equity of 14.2%, although it lags behind the industry average of 15.5% [7]. Group 5: Stock Performance and Valuation - Shares of Unum Group have gained 6.5%, outperforming the industry growth of 2% and the sector's return of 3.9% [8]. - The current price-to-book multiple is 1.24, above its five-year median of 0.87, indicating that the shares are relatively expensive [9]. - Compared to other insurers like Prudential Financial Inc and Lincoln National Corporation, Unum Group shares are also considered expensive [10]. Group 6: Analyst Sentiment - The Zacks average price target for Unum Group is $92.36 per share, suggesting a potential 16% upside from the last closing price [12]. - However, the consensus estimates for 2025 and 2026 earnings have seen slight declines of 0.7% and 0.6%, reflecting analysts' muted sentiment [12].