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Is This AI Stock About to Prove All the Bears Wrong?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-31 01:10
Core Viewpoint - GitLab's stock is expected to potentially break out in 2026, despite a significant decline in share price over the past two years, with a drop of over 10% in 2024 and an additional 33% in 2025 [1] Company Overview - GitLab operates a DevSecOps platform, transitioning towards an end-to-end software development life cycle (SDLC) platform that incorporates AI agents to assist developers throughout the software development process [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $6.0 billion, with a current stock price of $34.98, and a gross margin of 88.01% [2] Financial Performance - GitLab has experienced consistent revenue growth between 25% and 35% over the past two years, driven by both new customer acquisition and expansion among existing customers [4] - The company boasts a dollar-based net retention rate of 119% over the past 12 months, primarily due to seat expansion and upgrades to higher-tier services [4] Pricing Model and Revenue Generation - GitLab is shifting to a hybrid seat-plus-usage-based pricing model, which is expected to enhance average revenue per user (ARPU) [3] - The platform's value proposition is reinforced by its role as a secure repository for source code and data, which is critical in the context of AI development [5] Market Trends and Challenges - Concerns exist regarding the impact of AI on the demand for programmers, which some believe could negatively affect GitLab's business model [5] - However, the rise of AI is also leading to increased software creation, suggesting that GitLab may benefit from this trend as secure environments for code storage remain essential [6] Valuation and Investment Potential - GitLab's stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of approximately 5.5 and a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.5, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [7] - The overall sentiment suggests that AI presents more opportunities than risks for GitLab, positioning the stock for potential upside [7]