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Carrier (CARR) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-29 12:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported sales of $6.1 billion with 6% organic sales growth, benefiting from a foreign currency translation tailwind [17] - Adjusted operating profit increased by 10% year-over-year to $1.2 billion, with adjusted operating margin expanding by 130 basis points to 19.1% [18][19] - Adjusted EPS rose by 26% year-over-year to $0.92, driven by organic revenue growth and strong productivity [19][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The CSA segment achieved organic sales growth of 14%, with commercial sales excluding Nuresco up 45% [20] - The CSE segment saw flat organic sales growth, with residential and light commercial sales about flat, while commercial was up low single digits [22] - The CS Asia Pacific segment experienced a 4% decline in organic sales, with strong growth in Japan, India, and the Middle East offset by weakness in residential China [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total company organic orders were down high teens, with North America residential orders down about 60% compared to the previous year [25] - The Americas had strong performance, particularly in commercial HVAC, with total global commercial HVAC sales expected to reach approximately $6.5 billion in 2025, up nearly 20% year-over-year [6][17] - The European market showed mixed results, with residential sales down but heat pump unit sales in Germany up over 50% [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for sustained organic growth of 6% to 8% by exceeding customer expectations through differentiated products and double-digit aftermarket growth [5] - The integration of RLC and commercial HVAC in Europe is expected to create sales and cost opportunities, leveraging each other's strengths [15] - The company is focused on building a backlog for data centers and expanding its product offerings, including new technologies and integrated solutions [6][7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving close to 20% adjusted EPS growth this year despite unforeseen headwinds [16] - The company anticipates a strong second half of the year, supported by a robust backlog in commercial and continued growth in aftermarket services [25][30] - Management noted that the residential market in North America is expected to face challenges, with volume estimates adjusted downward for the second half [41][42] Other Important Information - Free cash flow for the first half of the year was approximately $1 billion, with plans for $3 billion in share buybacks [5][28] - The company is maintaining its full-year guidance for adjusted EPS in the range of $3 to $3.1 [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on Europe and margin guidance - Management discussed synergy capture in Europe and noted that while margins were impacted by mix issues, they remain confident in achieving cost synergies [31][33] Question: Price capture beyond tariffs - The company indicated that total price capture was about two points for the overall company in Q2 and expected to remain similar for the full year [36] Question: U.S. Residential and light commercial market assumptions - Management provided insights on volume expectations, indicating a downward adjustment for the second half due to slower movement and higher inventory levels [41][42] Question: Transportation market outlook - Management noted a return to growth in North America truck and trailer, with expectations for continued recovery in the second half [113][115] Question: Update on Climate Solutions Asia Pacific - Management highlighted strong growth in Japan and India, while acknowledging ongoing challenges in the residential market in China [90][92]