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Baidu Shares Rise 12.6% in 6 Months: Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-03-06 15:55
Core Insights - Baidu, Inc. has experienced a 12.6% increase in shares over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's growth of 9.3, as it transitions from an Internet-centric business to an AI-focused technology leader [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, Baidu's total revenues slightly declined by 2% year-over-year to RMB34.1 billion ($4.68 billion), while Baidu Core revenues increased by 1% to RMB27.7 billion ($3.8 billion) [2] - The AI Cloud business showed significant growth, achieving a 26% year-over-year increase in Q4 2024, which helped mitigate a 7% decline in the traditional online marketing business [3] Strategic Developments - Baidu's ERNIE foundation model handled approximately 1.65 billion API calls daily in December 2024, with external API calls growing by 178% quarter-over-quarter [6] - The company plans to open-source its upcoming ERNIE 4.5 series and make ERNIE Bot free for users to enhance market awareness and adoption [7] - AI-enabled features in Baidu Wenku reached 94 million monthly active users in December 2024, marking a 216% year-over-year increase [8] Autonomous Driving Initiatives - Baidu's Apollo Go service provided over 1.1 million rides in Q4 2024, a 36% increase year-over-year, and surpassed nine million total rides in January 2025 [9] - The company has secured permits for autonomous driving testing in Hong Kong, expanding its market presence [10] Competitive Landscape - Baidu faces competition in the AI cloud market from Alibaba and Tencent, which have strong enterprise relationships and financial resources [11] - The autonomous driving sector is becoming increasingly competitive with emerging players like Xpeng and WeRide [11] Valuation Metrics - Baidu's current forward 12-month P/S ratio is 1.65x, significantly lower than the Zacks Internet - Services industry average of 5.57x, indicating a discounted valuation [12] Financial Position - As of December 31, 2024, Baidu held RMB139.1 billion ($19.06 billion) in cash and equivalents, and has repurchased over $1 billion in shares since the beginning of 2024 [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is $18.73 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 1.31%, while earnings estimates have increased by 3.9% over the past 30 days [16] Future Outlook - Baidu is positioned to benefit from continued AI adoption and autonomous driving expansion, with expectations for gradual improvement in its advertising business and strong momentum in the AI Cloud sector [19] - The current stock price may represent an attractive entry point for long-term investors, given the company's technology leadership and strategic focus on high-growth areas [20]