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AI“泡沫”疑云仍在?美股AI和中国AI都进行到哪儿了?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 14:16
有两大阵营持截然相反的观点:悲观的,认为当前AI或接近2000年互联网泡沫;乐观的,认为还未到 下车的时候,可能是踏空AI者最后一次上车机会。 投资动向上,也出现明显分歧:巴菲特所在的伯克希尔三季度增仓谷歌,而软银、桥水等机构减仓英伟 达。 国内研究机构对美股AI动向也高度关注,基本共识是:美股七姐妹当前估值的确偏高,因此对利空也 较为敏感;但即便AI出现泡沫化,也仍然在早期,泡沫前最"亢奋"的阶段还未到来。 01 当前美股AI进行到哪儿了? 国海证券认为,当前AI所处的阶段,更接近于互联网时代的1997年而非1999年。 来源:华夏ETF AI"卖铲人"英伟达最新一季业绩超预期,以一己之力重新振奋市场,但短暂的 兴奋过后,人们对AI过 热的担忧似乎没有完全打消,美股科技巨头走势分化,循环融资和隐形杠杆的疑云,仍然盘旋在市场上 空。 国海证券还引用了一组数据:2023-2025年,每年使用AI的美国员工比例从21%上升到40%,几近翻 倍。谷歌每月处理的tokens数量从2024年5月的9.7万亿,升至2025年10月的1300万亿。 复盘互联网泡沫:自1995至2000年,1998年涨幅最大,2000年达到 ...
对“高仿茅台”等重拳出击 抖音封禁违规导流交易账号60万个
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 11:36
"联系以后就会引导进行私下交易。"抖音工作人员表示,"违规导流"一直是抖音反作弊治理的重要工 作,除了这类以"高仿""假大牌"吸引用户的假酒、假鞋导流,还有演唱会门票、中奖等多种导流类型, 黑产团伙将用户引导至平台视野范围外交易,平台无法对后续的行为进行合规治理或处置,发生纠纷后 用户也难以维权。"用户还可能遇到付款后被拉黑、以付款不成功为由要求多次转账等诈骗手段。" 今年以来,抖音已经封禁此类违规导流交易账号60万个。抖音提醒,任何形式的购物都请认准正规渠 道,如在平台发现异常行为,可通过站内或邮箱举报。 编辑 杨娟娟 校对 柳宝庆 新京报贝壳财经讯(记者罗亦丹)11月20日,记者获悉,抖音近期在日常治理中发现,部分黑产账号通 过发布茅台酒特写、在直播中展示"高仿茅子货源"等多种方式,吸引目标受众去站外进行违规交易。 据介绍,此类导流黑产通过购买、租用或利用他人信息注册账号等途径操作批量抖音号,他们将头像设 置为茅台酒图片,发布的投稿以商务宴请中茅台特写为主,或直接通过直播展示"高仿货源",并在其他 热门视频的评论区发布消息,引导用户添加站外联系方式。 ...
中国AI编程赛道,谁能跑到最后?
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-20 11:34
众多人工智能(AI)应用中,AI编程被普遍视为技术迭代速度最快、商业化路径最清晰、用户渗透率最高、资本认可度最强的AI应用之一。 火遍全球的AI编程工具Cursor就是典型例子。这家公司2022年创立,创立之初就从OpenAI的创业基金和知名风险投资机构Khosla Ventures获得了种 子轮融资。2023年9月到2025年5月20个月间,这家公司估值飙升至99亿美元。根据该公司披露的数据,公司年化经常性收入(ARR)突破5亿美 元,付费用户超36万,日活用户达100万,覆盖英伟达、Uber等1.4万家企业客户。 关于AI编程的商业价值,知名硅谷风险投资公司Andreessen Horowitz(a16z)投资人公开表示,全球约3000万软件开发者,若按每人年创造10万美 元经济价值计算,当前AI编码工具可提升至少20%生产力,最优部署场景下生产力可翻倍,相当于每年将创造3万亿美元GDP(国内生产总值)贡 献,堪比法国GDP(2024年法国GDP为31620.8亿美元)。 a16z投资人还认为,AI编程已经形成了一个生态系统,这个生态系统有潜力支持数十家数十亿美元的公司,甚至是一个万亿美元级巨头。 AI编 ...
抢先报名!第二波嘉宾亮相,百度京东高通亚马逊都来了|MEET2026
量子位· 2025-11-20 09:01
Group 1 - The MEET2026 Intelligent Future Conference will be held on December 10, 2025, in Beijing, focusing on various AI topics from AI infrastructure to cutting-edge areas like AI agents and Robotaxi [1][51]. - The conference aims to connect academia with industry, addressing current hot topics while delving into future industry trends [2]. - The event will feature prominent speakers from leading companies such as Baidu, JD, Qualcomm, and Amazon, showcasing a diverse range of expertise in AI [6][49]. Group 2 - The conference will also unveil the "Artificial Intelligence Annual List" and the "Annual AI Trend Report," which are expected to highlight significant developments and trends in the AI sector [49][50]. - The "Artificial Intelligence Annual List" will evaluate companies, products, and individuals across three dimensions, becoming one of the most influential lists in the AI industry [50]. - The "Annual AI Trend Report" will analyze ten major AI trends based on technology maturity, implementation status, and potential value, identifying key organizations and best cases [51]. Group 3 - The conference is positioned as a significant technology business summit, attracting thousands of tech professionals and millions of online viewers, establishing itself as an annual barometer for the intelligent technology industry [53]. - The event seeks to gather representatives from technology, industry, and investment sectors to discuss pathways for industry breakthroughs and insights into the new intelligent future [53].
百度文档翻译:支持AI大模型翻译,图片、表格都能翻
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-11-20 08:33
【环球网科技综合报道】随着技术发展和学术需求的增长,文档翻译成为了论文写作中不可或缺的重要工具。百度翻译的 文档翻译功能凭借支持多语种、覆盖多种格式、排版还原度高等特点,适用于办公、科研、语言学习及各类服务场景,为 不同用户群体提供便捷的文档翻译解决方案。截至目前,百度翻译文档翻译功能支持中、英、日、韩等200+种语言互译, 共覆盖40000+翻译方向。 据了解,在百度文档翻译不仅传统机翻支持200+种语言互译,AI大模型翻译还可实现46个语种之间的高精度互译。 此外,针对不同专业领域,百度文档翻译功能内置10余个专业领域翻译模型,翻译对应领域内容的准确率达到90%以上。 模型训练数据涵盖法律(合同、法规)、金融(财报、研报)、医疗(病历、论文)、IT(技术文档、代码注释)等几十 个专业领域,确保精准处理行业术语,保证固定表达的准确性。 用户上传文档后,百度翻译支持多种格式的对照翻译,可在同一界面快速查看原文与译文,便于核对内容,确保信息完 整。同时提供在线智能编辑,无需下载即可操作,并配备专业词汇提示和纠错功能。在翻译完成后,用户可自由选择 Word、PDF、PPT 等格式进行导出,便于后续保存、分享或编辑 ...
‘Robotaxi has reached a tipping point': Baidu, Nvidia leaders see momentum as competition rises
CNBC· 2025-11-20 07:14
Core Insights - Baidu has announced the capability to sell robotaxi rides without human staff, indicating a significant advancement in autonomous driving technology [1] - Chinese robotaxi companies are expanding internationally at a faster pace than U.S. competitors, with industry leaders suggesting that autonomous driving is nearing a critical turning point [2] - Positive public feedback and increased exposure to driverless rides are expected to accelerate regulatory approvals for robotaxi services [3] Industry Growth Potential - The global robotaxi market is projected to exceed $25 billion by 2030, highlighting significant growth opportunities [4] - Chinese companies are aggressively pursuing international expansion, aiming to establish robotaxis as a viable business model rather than merely focusing on market share [6] Profitability and Operational Efficiency - Baidu's Apollo Go unit has achieved per-vehicle profitability in Wuhan, operating over 1,000 vehicles, which demonstrates the potential for profitability in other cities [8] - The cost of rides in Wuhan is approximately 30% lower than in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai, making it competitive against U.S. and European prices [9] - Partnerships with ride-hailing services like Uber are deemed critical for operational efficiency and quicker profitability [7] Fleet Size and Competitive Landscape - Companies like Baidu, Pony.ai, and WeRide are leading in fleet size, which is becoming a key competitive factor in the race for profitability [13] - Pony.ai plans to deploy 1,000 robotaxis in the Middle East by 2028, while WeRide aims for a similar fleet size by the end of next year [14] Safety and Regulatory Environment - No fatalities or major injuries have been reported by any of the six robotaxi operators, which is crucial for gaining regulatory approval [16] - The Chinese government is expected to increase support for robotaxi operations, which could further enhance market conditions [16][17]
大行评级丨野村:百度昆仑芯潜力显著 评级升至买入
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-20 05:35
Core Viewpoint - Nomura has upgraded Baidu's (BIDU.US) stock rating to "Buy" and raised the target price from $135 to $140, highlighting the significant growth potential of its chip design subsidiary, Kunlun Chip [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Baidu's AI high-performance computing facility subscription revenue has increased by 128% in Q3 [1] - Nomura estimates that Kunlun Chip's revenue could reach 2.6 billion and 5.4 billion RMB in the fiscal years 2025 and 2026, respectively, which is approximately 45% of the revenue forecast for domestic AI chip leader Cambricon during the same period [1] - The standalone valuation of Kunlun Chip is projected to reach $23 billion [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The report indicates that Kunlun Chip and Alibaba's (9988.HK) subsidiary Pingtouge are expected to benefit from strong AI demand, especially given the challenges in procuring advanced chips from overseas [1] - Baidu's advertising business remains weak, and despite efforts to introduce digital humans and agents to increase revenue sources, these measures are not expected to reverse the declining trend in the business [1]
大和:升百度集团-SW(09888)目标价至162港元 重申“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-11-20 03:06
智通财经APP获悉,大和发布研报称,百度集团-SW(09888)核心业务2025年第三季营收与营业利润略好 过预期,盈利表现得益于其他收入与税务优惠。重申对百度"买入"评级,并将目标价由158港元上调至 162港元。报告指,第三季百度云端服务收入同比增21%,公司针对AI原生产品公布新财务披露。 ...
大和:升百度集团-SW目标价至162港元 重申“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 03:05
大和发布研报称,百度集团-SW(09888)核心业务2025年第三季营收与营业利润略好过预期,盈利表现得 益于其他收入与税务优惠。重申对百度"买入"评级,并将目标价由158港元上调至162港元。报告指,第 三季百度云端服务收入同比增21%,公司针对AI原生产品公布新财务披露。 ...
百度集团-SW(09888):信息更新报告:2025Q3利润超预期,AI贡献收入显著提升
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-11-20 02:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Baidu Group is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Baidu's Q3 2025 profits exceeded expectations, with significant revenue contributions from AI [6][7] - The AI search transformation is stabilizing, and new business segments like AI marketing and cloud services are driving revenue growth [6][8] - The company has revised its non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards, reflecting a positive outlook on AI and cloud contributions [6] Financial Summary - For Q3 2025, Baidu reported revenues of 311.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 7%, but slightly above Bloomberg consensus expectations [7] - Non-GAAP net profit for Q3 2025 was 37.7 billion yuan, down 36% year-on-year, yet better than the expected 26.3 billion yuan [7] - The core online marketing revenue decreased by 18% year-on-year, attributed to macroeconomic impacts and internal search transformation adjustments [7] - AI cloud revenue grew by 33% year-on-year to 42 billion yuan, with AI high-performance computing subscription revenue increasing by 128% [7] - The projected non-GAAP net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19.55 billion, 21.91 billion, and 24.82 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of -27.6%, +12.1%, and +13.3% [9] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 15.0 for 2025, 13.4 for 2026, and 11.8 for 2027 [6][9] - The projected diluted EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.8, 7.6, and 8.6 yuan respectively [9]