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Exploring Analyst Estimates for MSCI (MSCI) Q2 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 14:15
Core Insights - MSCI is expected to report quarterly earnings of $4.14 per share, a 13.7% increase year-over-year, with revenues forecasted at $771.46 million, reflecting a 9% year-over-year growth [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 1.6% in the past 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial projections [2] - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are linked to short-term stock price performance [3] Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Operating Revenues- ESG and Climate' to reach $88.56 million, a year-over-year increase of 10.9% [5] - 'Operating Revenues- Asset-based fees - Total' is estimated at $181.01 million, also reflecting a 10.9% increase from the previous year [5] - 'Operating Revenues- Analytics' is expected to be $176.90 million, indicating a 6.6% year-over-year growth [5] Additional Revenue Metrics - 'Operating Revenues- All Other - Private Assets' is projected at $70.32 million, showing an 8.3% increase from the year-ago quarter [6] - Estimated 'Period-End AUM in ETFs linked to MSCI equity indexes' is $1.75 billion, up from $1.37 billion in the same quarter last year [6] Subscription Metrics - 'Index Run Rate - Recurring subscriptions' is forecasted to reach $971.21 million, compared to $891.63 million in the same quarter last year [7] - The consensus for 'Total Run Rate - Total recurring subscriptions' stands at $2.34 billion, up from $2.16 billion year-over-year [7] Retention Rates - Analysts expect 'Total Retention Rate' to be 95.3%, compared to 94.8% a year ago [8] - 'Analytics Run Rate' is projected at $723.75 million, an increase from $674.61 million in the same quarter last year [8] Other Key Metrics - 'All Other - Private Assets Run Rate' is expected to reach $281.69 million, up from $260.56 million year-over-year [9] - 'ESG and Climate Run Rate' is projected at $362.21 million, compared to $333.68 million a year ago [9] - 'Index Retention Rate' is likely to be 95.9%, up from 95.2% last year [10] Stock Performance - MSCI shares have increased by 5.2% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 4.2% increase [11] - With a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), MSCI is expected to outperform the overall market in the near term [11]