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Tourlite Capital Q4 2025 Investor Letter
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-05 05:25
Performance Summary - Tourlite Fund, LP returned 0.2% for Q4 2025 and 2.8% for the full year, with an annualized return of 8.1% since inception, underperforming the S&P 500 (13.3%) and Russell 2000 (6.5%) [2] - The fund's long positions struggled due to poor stock selection, while the short book generated a positive contribution of 0.9% [3][4] Market Outlook - The outlook for 2026 is optimistic, anticipating strong economic growth and declining inflation, supported by pro-growth policies ahead of midterm elections [5] - A rotation in market performance has been observed, with the Russell 2000 outperforming the S&P 500 and sectors like industrials and materials leading [6] Risks and Opportunities - There are concerns about potential inflationary pressures re-emerging later in the year due to aggressive monetary policy and fiscal stimulus [7] - If inflation pressures return, it may create opportunities for short sellers as market dynamics shift [8] Portfolio Composition - The average net beta-adjusted exposure was 20%, with gross exposure ranging from approximately 175% to 260% [9] - Sector concentration included consumer (~20%), industrials (~50%), and technology (~25%), with a strategy of being short consumer and long industrials [10] Notable Positions - FTAI Aviation is expected to reach $250 per share, with potential for $1 billion EBITDA from a new initiative [13] - Montana Aerospace has been initiated as a new position, trading at a significant discount with strong growth potential in the aerospace sector [18][19] Short Positions - The fund has established short positions in companies with unfavorable supply-demand dynamics and high valuations, anticipating declines in volume and margins [23][24] - Specific shorts include a consumer company expected to face revenue and margin disappointments due to transitory conditions [27]
Meet the Under-the-Radar AI Stock and Palantir Partner That's Up 219%
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-25 04:15
Core Insights - FTAI Aviation's recent partnerships with Palantir and GE Aerospace are enhancing its growth prospects significantly [1][4][6] Company Overview - FTAI Aviation specializes in owning and maintaining aircraft engines for airlines, cargo companies, and leasing companies, providing a cost-effective solution for engine maintenance [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $30 billion and has seen its stock price increase by 219% over the past year [3][1] Strategic Partnerships - FTAI has established a multiyear strategic partnership with GE Aerospace, securing OEM replacement parts, thrust performance upgrades, and component repair services [4] - The partnership with Palantir focuses on utilizing AI technology to enhance production turnaround times and improve unit economics, aiming for cost savings for customers globally [6][8] Market Dynamics - GE Aerospace has extended the timeline for expected declines in CFM56 shop visits from 2025 to 2027 due to strong airline demand, benefiting FTAI [5] - FTAI Power, a new business unit, aims to convert CFM56 engines into power turbines for data centers, with a target of producing over 100 units annually [6][7] Financial Metrics - FTAI Aviation is currently trading at 43 times forward earnings, indicating a premium valuation, but the growth potential in both aircraft engine servicing and FTAI Power is substantial [8]
Why FTAI Aviation Stock Is Soaring Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-30 19:34
Core Insights - FTAI Aviation is launching a new turbine to meet the power demands of the growing AI industry, with shares increasing by 13.22% [1][3] - The new platform, FTAI Power, aims to convert CFM56 engines into power turbines, providing flexible and cost-efficient energy solutions for global data centers [3][4] Company Developments - FTAI plans to remanufacture the CFM56 core turbine and integrate it with aeroderivative components for a fully integrated power solution, projecting an annual production capacity of over 100 units [4] - Production of the new power turbine is expected to begin in 2026, addressing the urgent power needs of AI hyperscalers [5] Market Performance - As of the latest trading session, FTAI shares are priced at $22.85, with a market cap of $18 billion and a gross margin of 31.40% [3][4] - The stock has shown a 52-week range of $75.06 to $199.88, indicating significant volatility [4]