The market doesn't always get things right, especially during the heat of earning season when there's simply too much information for anyone to process all at once. Just look at two of the children of General Electric, GE Aerospace and GE Vernova. Two of the best performing stocks of the year, up more than 80% a piece.Both companies reported terrific quarters, but both of their stocks initially sold off before rebounding dramatically from their lows. I want to walk you through what's going on here because t ...

GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 21, 2025 07:30 AM ET Speaker0Day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the GE Aerospace Third Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. My name is Dustin, and I will be your conference coordinator today. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the program over to your host for today's conference, Blair Shore, Head of Investor Relations.Please proceed.Sp ...

GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 21, 2025 07:30 AM ET Speaker4Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the GE Aerospace Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. My name is Dustin, and I will be your conference coordinator today. If you experience issues with the webcast slides refreshing, or if there appear to be delays in the slide advancement, please hit F5 on your keyboard to refresh. As a reminder, this conference is ...

GE Aerospace third quarter 2025 performance Financial results & company highlights October 21, 2025 Caution concerning forward-looking statements: This document contains "forward-looking statements" – that is, statements related to future events that by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. For details on the uncertainties that may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements, see www.geaerospace.com/inves ...

An imbalance of supply and demand in the airline industry is pushing this stock higher.FTAI Aviation (FTAI 0.49%) is a rapidly expanding aircraft maintenance, repair, and leasing company that most investors have never heard of.The New York City-based company has two main divisions. One owns and leases assets including aircraft and engines. The other manufactures, refurbishes, and repairs aircraft engines and other components. The company specializes in two particular engines: the CFM56, the best-selling com ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of $1.53 billion, a 13.5% increase from $1.35 billion in Q2 2024, with 11.5% of this growth being organic [19][20] - Adjusted EBITDA rose to $205 million, reflecting a 20% increase year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA margins expanding by 80 basis points to 13.4% [20][29] - Net income increased significantly to $68 million from $5 million in the prior year, driven by higher sales and expanding margins [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Engine Services revenue increased by $139 million to $1.35 billion, representing 11.5% growth, driven by strong aftermarket activity and production ramp-up in commercial aerospace [21] - Component Repair Services revenue grew by 31% year-over-year to $178 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 50% and margins expanding to a record 29% [23][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial aerospace sales grew 14% year-over-year, with strong demand for engine aftermarket services [7] - Business aviation sales increased by 9%, driven by demand for midsize and super midsize business jets [8] - Military sales grew by 12%, supported by the AeroTurbine acquisition and growth in specific military programs [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its LEAP program, enhancing CFM56 and CF34 capacity, and improving component repair services [10][17] - The company aims to maintain a disciplined approach to capital allocation, combining organic investments with strategic M&A opportunities [17][18] - The expansion of the Augusta facility is expected to add 60% capacity and create approximately 100 new jobs [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong demand environment and the company's ability to navigate supply chain challenges [31] - The company is increasing its 2025 revenue guidance to between $5.875 billion and $6.025 billion, reflecting continued strong demand across core end markets [28][30] - Adjusted EBITDA guidance has also been raised to a range of $790 million to $810 million, driven by better-than-expected margins [28] Other Important Information - The company expects free cash flow for 2025 to be in the range of $155 million to $175 million, with a strong cash conversion cycle anticipated in the second half of the year [25][30] - The company’s leverage improved to 2.99 times net debt to EBITDA, down from 5.4 times in 2024 [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on revenue cadence in Engine Services - Management confirmed that revenue growth expectations remain strong, particularly for the CF34 program, and expressed confidence in the second half guidance [38] Question: Margin dilution from new programs - Management indicated that margin expansion would have been greater without the ramp programs, but losses are narrowing significantly [41] Question: Growth dynamics for LEAP, CFM56, and CF34 - Management explained that LEAP is being carefully ramped up for precision, while CF34 is expected to see increased work due to aging engines [46][49] Question: Engine exchange program details - Management clarified that the engine exchange program involves a one-time investment and is designed to be self-funding over time [59][112] Question: Cash flow expectations for the second half - Management expects strong free cash flow driven by the unwinding of working capital and improved collections [100][102]

Core Viewpoint - GE Aviation has established an engine quick repair center in Shanghai, which has been operational for two years, providing on-wing support services for domestic aircraft models C909 and C919, and has set up a LEAP-1C spare engine library to enhance service offerings [1][2]. Group 1: Engine Quick Repair Center - The quick repair center is the first in China to provide specialized quick repair services for GE and CFM engines, offering more in-depth services than on-wing and near-wing repairs while being faster than major overhauls [2][4]. - Since its establishment, the Shanghai quick repair center has completed repairs on 48 engines, including models such as CFM56, CF34, and LEAP-1A/1B, and provides approximately 200 technical support sessions annually to airlines and aircraft manufacturers [4][8]. Group 2: Operational Efficiency and Innovations - The center has adopted a "Flow" production model, which improves the efficiency of the engine repair process by allowing engines to move through various repair stages rather than being stationary, thus reducing wait times for tools and parts [5][8]. - The workforce has shifted from a generalist model to a more specialized approach, enhancing the precision and skill of engineers, which allows for better on-site support for airline customers [8].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong second quarter with revenue exceeding $10 billion, up 23% year-over-year, and profit reaching $2.3 billion, an increase of 23% [44] - Orders were up 27%, with commercial engine services (CES) growing 30% and defense propulsion technologies (DPT) up 7% [44] - Free cash flow nearly doubled to $2.1 billion compared to the previous year [44] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CES services revenue increased by nearly 30% year-over-year, driven by internal shop visit revenue up more than 20% and spare parts revenue up over 25% [25] - DPT revenue grew 6%, with defense and systems up 6% and propulsion and additive technologies up 9% [48] - CES margins expanded by 50 basis points to 27.9%, while DPT margins declined by 20 basis points to 14.1% [47][48] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects air traffic growth to outpace global GDP, particularly in Asia Pacific and the Middle East [16] - The commercial services backlog has increased to over $140 billion, supporting growth for years to come [16] - The defense sector is seeing solid momentum globally, with increased funding for key defense propulsion initiatives [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to ramp up services and equipment to support customer fleets while fulfilling strong demand for new engines [19] - Investments of over $1 billion are planned for MRO and component repair facilities over the next five years [23] - The company is focused on enhancing engine performance and expanding its supply chain and service networks [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management raised the 2025 guidance across the board, expecting total revenue growth in the mid-teens, up from low double digits [49] - The outlook for 2028 has also been raised, with expectations for adjusted EPS reaching approximately $8.40 and operating profit around $11.5 billion [42] - Management expressed optimism about the company's trajectory, citing strong fundamentals and a robust order backlog [16][42] Other Important Information - The company is investing approximately $3 billion in R&D in 2025, which is 6-8% of revenue [29] - The company has a life of program win rate of 75% for GE9X engines, indicating strong demand [26] - The company is effectively sold out through the rest of the decade for commercial and defense engines [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you reconcile the second half EBIT decline? - Management explained that while the second half EBIT is expected to be lower, the overall year is projected to see strong profit growth, with a better-than-expected second quarter contributing to raised revenue expectations [80][84] Question: What are the pricing assumptions for 2024-2028? - Management indicated that pricing is expected to offset inflation, with mid-single-digit pricing dynamics anticipated as the company moves beyond product launches [92][93] Question: What is the baseline for retirement rates? - Management acknowledged that retirements have been low but expect an increase as the fleet ages, with assumptions built around new aircraft deliveries and departure growth [95]

Financial Performance - GE Aerospace reported adjusted revenue of $102 billion, a 23% year-over-year increase in Q2 2025[54] - The company's operating profit reached $23 billion, also a 23% increase compared to the previous year[54] - Free cash flow surged to $21 billion, a significant 92% increase year-over-year[54] - Adjusted EPS increased by 38% year-over-year, reaching $166[54] - Orders increased by 27% year-over-year, totaling $142 billion[54] Guidance and Outlook - GE Aerospace is raising its 2025 adjusted revenue growth guidance to mid-teens, up from low double-digit[55] - The company expects its 2028 operating profit to reach approximately $115 billion, an increase of $15 billion from the prior outlook[57] - GE Aerospace anticipates a free cash flow of approximately $85 billion in 2028, also a $15 billion increase from the previous forecast[57] Commercial Engines & Services (CES) - Commercial Engines & Services reported a 29% year-over-year increase in services revenue for Q2 2025[32] - Equipment revenue for CES increased by 35% year-over-year[105] - The company expects double-digit revenue growth in commercial services[62] Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) - Defense & Propulsion Technologies revenue increased by 7% year-over-year in Q2 2025[108] - The U S Air Force awarded a $5 billion contract for F110 engines[37]

Company Overview - GE Aerospace is a major industrial company in the United States with a market capitalization exceeding $193 billion, focusing on commercial and defense aircraft engines [2] - The company has undergone restructuring, resulting in a leaner and more profitable organization, benefiting from a robust order book [3] Business Performance - GE Aerospace generated orders of $15.5 billion in the fourth quarter, reflecting a 46% increase year-over-year, contributing to a revenue growth of 16% to $9.9 billion and a net profit increase of 37% to $2.3 billion [4] - For the year, the company reported over $50.3 billion in orders, a 32% increase from the previous year, with revenue rising by 9% to $38.7 billion and a profit margin widening to 19.7% [5] Market Dynamics - The performance of GE Aviation is closely tied to the number of aircraft orders, as its engines are utilized in various aircraft models, including Boeing and Airbus [4] - Analysts project GE's revenue for the first quarter to be $9.05 billion, with expectations of $39.4 billion for the full year and $43.56 billion for the next financial year [5] Impact of Tariffs - Donald Trump's tariffs on imports, particularly a 25% levy on steel and aluminum, are expected to impact GE's margins negatively [6] - The company is also affected by China's recent decision to halt shipments of rare earth elements, which are crucial for engine parts, potentially impacting its business [7] Stock Price Analysis - GE's stock price has recently rebounded, remaining above the 200-day moving average, indicating bullish control [10] - A significant megaphone pattern has formed in the stock price chart, which may lead to a strong bullish breakout, with a key level to watch being the year-to-date high of $213.95, an 18% increase from current levels [11]