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Can STX's Business Overhaul & Product Pipeline Fuel its Upside in 2026?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-20 14:46
Core Insights - Seagate Technology Holdings plc has implemented structural changes to enhance profitability and cash generation for fiscal 2026, focusing on its Data Center and Edge IoT markets [1][2] Financial Performance - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, data center revenue accounted for 80% of Seagate's total revenue of $2.1 billion, reflecting a 13% sequential increase and a 34% year-over-year growth [2][8] - The Edge IoT segment contributed 20% of revenue at $515 million, with expectations for seasonal improvement in the December quarter [2] - Seagate forecasts fiscal second quarter revenue of $2.7 billion (+/- $100 million), indicating approximately 16% year-over-year growth at the midpoint [4][8] Market Demand and Strategy - Demand from global cloud customers remains robust, with expectations that cloud growth will continue to outpace enterprise demand [3] - The transition of AI from training to large-scale inferencing is driving increased requirements for high-capacity storage solutions [3] - Seagate is accelerating the qualification of its high-capacity Mozaic portfolio to meet the growing demand amid tight supply [3] Competitive Landscape - Western Digital Corporation is also benefiting from strong AI and cloud computing demand, focusing on higher-capacity nearline products and progressing on HAMR development [5] - Pure Storage, Inc. is innovating in enterprise storage solutions tailored for modern workloads, including AI and cloud-native environments [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Seagate's shares have increased by 159.4% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Computer Integrated Systems industry's growth of 58.8% [7] - The forward price/earnings ratio for Seagate is 22.76X, slightly lower than the industry's 23.07X [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Seagate's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 6.37% to $11.02 over the past 60 days [10]