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领益智造- 服务器和可折叠手机组件业务扩张;25 年第二季度营业利润超预期;目标价上调至 20.1 元人民币;买入
2025-09-01 03:21
Summary of Lingyi (002600.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Lingyi (002600.SZ) - **Market Cap**: Rmb108.9 billion / $15.3 billion - **Enterprise Value**: Rmb112.7 billion / $15.8 billion - **Current Price**: Rmb15.54 - **12-Month Price Target**: Rmb20.10, indicating an upside of 29.3% [1][27][38] Key Industry and Business Developments - **Expansion into AI and Foldable Phones**: Lingyi is diversifying its business from traditional smartphones to AI servers, AI devices, and foldable phone components, capitalizing on the growing adoption of these technologies. The company anticipates that AI devices and foldable phones will significantly increase dollar content, particularly in thermal components and mechanical parts [2][27]. - **New Business Contribution**: Expected contribution from new business segments (AI glasses, AI servers, foldable phone components, automotive) is projected to rise from 15% in 2024 to 28% by 2027 [2]. Financial Performance - **2Q25 Results**: - Revenue increased by 30% YoY, aligning with estimates, driven by higher dollar content in thermal solutions and smartphone precision components [3][20]. - Operating income exceeded estimates by 8%, supported by improved efficiency in automotive components and overseas factories [3][20]. - Net income rose by 58% YoY, surpassing the company's midpoint guidance [3][20]. Financial Projections - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2024: Rmb44.21 billion - 2025E: Rmb55.73 billion - 2026E: Rmb69.05 billion - 2027E: Rmb83.48 billion [7][18][22]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2025E: Rmb0.37 - 2026E: Rmb0.58 - 2027E: Rmb0.81 [7][18][22]. - **Gross Margin (GM)**: Expected to improve due to a shift in product mix towards higher-margin AI server thermal and foldable phone components [21][27]. Valuation and Investment Outlook - **Target Price Adjustment**: Price target raised to Rmb20.1 based on a target P/E multiple of 34.8x 2026E EPS, reflecting a positive outlook on the company's growth trajectory [1][27][38]. - **Investment Rating**: Maintain "Buy" rating, supported by Lingyi's leading position in precision components and its expansion into high-growth areas [1][27][38]. Risks and Considerations - **Market Risks**: Potential risks include slower-than-expected penetration of foldable phones and AI terminals, increased competition from suppliers, and a weak macroeconomic environment that could dampen market demand [38]. Conclusion Lingyi is positioned for growth through its strategic expansion into AI and foldable phone components, supported by strong financial performance and positive market trends. The company's proactive approach to diversifying its product offerings and improving operational efficiency bodes well for its future prospects.