Ford Energy
Search documents
Does it Make Sense to Own Ford Stock After Dismal Q4 Results?
ZACKS· 2026-02-11 13:55
Core Insights - Ford ended 2025 with a significant net loss of $11.1 billion on a GAAP basis, a stark contrast to a profit of $1.8 billion in Q4 2024, marking the end of a four-quarter earnings beat streak [1] - The disappointing performance was attributed to one-off disruptions, policy-related costs, and special charges related to the company's EV strategy reset [2][5] Financial Performance - Ford's Q4 2025 results included a non-GAAP EPS of 13 cents, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 17 cents and reflecting a 26% decline year over year [1] - The company incurred approximately $2 billion in losses due to supplier disruptions and an additional $2 billion in net tariff headwinds, alongside $15.5 billion in special charges primarily linked to its EV strategy [2] EV Strategy and Charges - Ford announced a total of $19.5 billion in charges as it restructured its EV strategy, scrapping several costly projects and focusing on more affordable EVs [5] - The company expects around $7 billion in special charges over the next two years related to these changes, with most financial impacts anticipated in 2026 [5] Operational Outlook - Ford's Model e segment continues to operate at a loss, with EBIT losses narrowing to $4.8 billion in 2025 from $5.07 billion in 2024, and is projected to remain unprofitable through 2026 [7] - Management anticipates some cost relief in 2026, with tariff headwinds expected to ease to about $1 billion and additional savings from material and warranty cost reductions [8] 2026 Projections - Ford expects adjusted EBIT of $8-$10 billion in 2026, an increase from $6.8 billion in 2025, with adjusted free cash flow improving to $5-$6 billion [10] - The company generated $187 billion in revenue for 2025 and gained U.S. market share, holding $50 billion in liquidity to navigate challenges [10][21] Long-Term Growth Potential - Despite recent challenges, Ford's long-term growth narrative remains intact, with a focus on building higher-margin growth engines and a strong dealer network [17][20] - The company is shifting its EV strategy to focus on affordable models built on a cost-efficient platform, targeting segments with better demand and profitability [19] - Ford's balance sheet is robust, with nearly $50 billion in total liquidity, providing financial flexibility for future investments [21]
Ford: An Undervalued Giant? Value Ranking Climbs As Market Eyes $187 Billion Revenue Milestone - Ford Motor (NYSE:F)
Benzinga· 2026-02-11 13:12
Core Insights - Ford Motor Co. has entered the top 10% of stocks for relative worth, with its value score increasing from 89.53 to 90.09 [1] Financial Performance - Ford achieved a record revenue of $187.3 billion for the full year, marking its fifth consecutive year of top-line growth [2] - Despite the revenue growth, Ford reported a GAAP net loss of $8.2 billion, primarily due to $17.4 billion in pre-tax special items [2] - Excluding one-time charges, Ford's adjusted EBIT was $6.8 billion [3] Segment Contributions - Ford Pro generated over $66 billion in revenue with double-digit margins, holding a 42% market share in classes 1-7 in the U.S. [4] - The Ford Blue segment contributed $3 billion in EBIT, driven by strong sales of the Bronco and Explorer [5] - Ford Credit's EBT increased by 55% to $2.6 billion, further supporting the company's financial performance [5] Future Outlook - Management projects an adjusted EBIT of $8 billion to $10 billion by 2026, with adjusted free cash flow expected to reach $5 billion to $6 billion [6] - A significant investment of $1.5 billion is planned for "Ford Energy," focusing on battery storage and grid stability [6] Stock Performance - Ford's shares have increased by 1.72% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500's 1.22% increase [7] - Over the last six months, Ford's stock rose by 21.81%, and it has increased by 47.34% over the past year [7]
Ford Motor(F) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-10 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported $187 billion in revenue for the year, with an adjusted EBIT of $6.8 billion, which includes a $2 billion headwind from Novelis fires and tariffs [4][5] - The adjusted EPS and free cash flow figures were not explicitly mentioned, but the company generated $3.5 billion in free cash flow and ended the year with nearly $29 billion in cash and $50 billion in liquidity [13][14] - The company aims for an adjusted EBIT margin of 8% by 2029, indicating a focus on improving profitability [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford Pro generated over $66 billion in revenue with an EBIT of $6.8 billion, maintaining a double-digit margin despite challenges [15] - The Model E segment saw a revenue increase of 73% and volume growth of 69%, although it still reported an EBIT loss of $4.8 billion [16] - Ford Blue's revenue was roughly flat, with EBIT of $3 billion, supported by higher net pricing and a strong product lineup [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market share increased to 13.2%, the best performance in six years, with significant growth in the Super Duty and Transit franchises [4][7] - Ford Pro's Class 1 through 7 market share in the U.S. is over 42%, while in Europe, it has been the number one commercial brand for 11 consecutive years [7][8] - The company anticipates a U.S. SAAR of $16 million to $16.5 million for 2026, with flat industry pricing expected [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is shifting its EV focus to high-volume, affordable vehicles, launching a Universal EV Platform aimed at the profitable $35,000 EV market [11][31] - Ford Energy is positioned as a strategic business to diversify revenue and reduce risks in the core automotive sector [11][12] - The company plans to expand its market coverage with a mix of powertrains, including gas, hybrids, and fully electric vehicles [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving year-over-year profit improvements driven by a richer Ford Blue mix and reduced Model E losses [10] - The company expects to achieve $8 billion to $10 billion in adjusted EBIT for 2026, with a focus on capital expenditures of $9.5 billion to $10.5 billion [19][22] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a competitive edge through cost reductions and improved product offerings [24] Other Important Information - The company declared a first-quarter regular dividend of $0.15 per share, reflecting its commitment to delivering shareholder returns [15] - Ford Credit delivered an EBT of $2.6 billion, up 55% year-over-year, indicating strong performance in financing [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you unpack the market factors driving the year-over-year increase for 2026? - Management explained that the $1 billion improvement from Novelis is expected due to non-reoccurrence of previous losses and capacity actions, alongside lower tariff costs [26][29] Question: How is the investment in EV and AV being approached more capital-efficiently? - Management emphasized a focus on customer preferences and a strategy centered around the Universal EV Platform, which targets profitable segments [31] Question: What is the expected impact of Novelis on 2026? - The company anticipates a $1 billion year-over-year improvement from Novelis, with temporary costs expected to be around $1.5 billion to $2 billion [27][34] Question: How does Ford plan to address competition in the truck market? - Management highlighted the strength of their F-Series lineup and the importance of maintaining a disciplined market approach to balance share and incentives [36][37] Question: What are the expectations for capital expenditures in the coming years? - The company plans to increase capital spending to $9.5 billion to $10.5 billion, primarily driven by investments in Ford Energy and higher-return products [41][42]
Ford Motor(F) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-10 22:00
Q4 & Full Year 2025 Earnings 2025 Ford Maverick Safe Harbor Statement And Disclosures Contents Delivering Ford + Page 4 - 5 Q4 Results Page 6 Full Year Results Page 7 Financials Page 9 - 17 2026 Guidance Page 19 - 20 Appendix Page 23 - 36 2026 Ford Kuga This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on expectations, forecasts, and assumptions by our management and involve a number of risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual results to diffe ...