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Kratos Defense Gains 59.8% in the Past 3 Months: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-10 17:51
Core Insights - Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) shares have increased by 59.8% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense Equipment industry growth of 2.4%, the Aerospace sector's growth of 4.6%, and the S&P 500's rise of 9.4% [1][10]. Performance Drivers - The stock performance of KTOS is attributed to strong quarterly results, new program developments, and strategic collaborations [4]. - A partnership with Airbus was signed in July 2025 to equip the Valkyrie with mission systems for the German Air Force, enhancing global presence [5]. - U.S. defense contracts and upcoming programs like Air Wolf, Athena, and a new fifth-generation jet drone reinforce KTOS's leadership in advanced UAS solutions [5]. - The establishment of a new advanced manufacturing facility in Bristow, OK, for producing the GEK turbojet engine family is expected to bolster KTOS's role in defense and aerospace propulsion [6]. Future Outlook - KTOS is positioned for sustained long-term growth, supported by a broad portfolio in unmanned systems, hypersonics, and propulsion [7]. - The company anticipates securing a sole-source contract for the Air Wolf tactical jet drone by the end of 2025, with production expected to begin in late 2026 [7]. - Advancements in hypersonic systems like Erinyes, Dark Fury, and Icarus are also part of the company's growth strategy [8]. - A $1.41 billion backlog and clear delivery schedules over the next two years position KTOS to generate consistent revenues [12]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KTOS's 2025 revenues indicates a 15.7% improvement from the prior year, with earnings expected to improve by 4.1% [14]. - For 2026, revenue estimates suggest a year-over-year growth of 17%, while earnings are projected to grow by 39.2% [14]. - Current revenue estimates for the current year (2025) stand at $1.31 billion, with a forecast of $1.54 billion for the next year (2026) [15]. Valuation Metrics - KTOS shares are currently trading at a forward Price/Sales (P/S F12M) ratio of 7.43X, which is below the industry average of 9.48X, indicating a potential discount [17]. - The Return on Equity (ROE) for KTOS is 4.83, which is below the industry average of 8.56, suggesting lower returns on equity compared to peers [20]. Conclusion - Kratos Defense is well-positioned for long-term growth, supported by its expanding drone portfolio, strategic partnerships, advancements in hypersonics and propulsion, and a substantial backlog [21]. - Despite strong growth prospects, challenges such as supply-chain constraints, inflationary pressures, and labor shortages remain [22].
KTOS or LHX: Which Stock Stands Stronger in Today's Defense Boom?
ZACKS· 2025-08-25 15:26
Core Insights - Global defense spending is increasing due to geopolitical tensions, benefiting companies like Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) and L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) [1] - Both companies are positioned to capitalize on investments in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber defense, and advanced weapon systems [1][2] Summary for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) - Recent Achievements: Kratos reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 17.1% for Q2 2025 and raised its revenue guidance for 2025 from $1.26-$1.29 billion to $1.29-$1.31 billion [4][6] - Financial Stability: The company ended Q2 2025 with cash and cash equivalents of $784 million, up from $329 million at the end of 2024, and long-term debt of $233 million [7] - Challenges: Kratos faces supply-chain constraints, labor shortages, and rising inflationary costs, which may pressure margins and delay project execution [8] Summary for L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) - Recent Achievements: L3Harris reported a 15.8% year-over-year growth in earnings per share and a 2.4% rise in revenues for Q2 2025, along with an expansion of its satellite integration facility [9][10] - Financial Stability: The company ended Q2 2025 with cash and cash equivalents of $480 million and long-term debt of $10.98 billion, indicating a relatively weak financial position [14] - Challenges: L3Harris is experiencing labor shortages due to an aging workforce, which may lead to production delays and quality issues [15] Comparative Analysis - KTOS has shown a stock price increase of 195.4% over the past year, significantly outperforming LHX's 20.4% growth [11] - LHX has a more attractive valuation with a forward Price/Sales (P/S F12M) multiple of 2.28X compared to KTOS's 7.73X [21] - Earnings estimates for KTOS indicate a year-over-year growth of 4.1%, while LHX's estimates show a decline of 19.9% [16][17] Conclusion - Both companies are well-positioned to benefit from rising defense budgets, with Kratos showing stronger momentum and financial stability [22] - L3Harris offers a more stable investment option due to its diversified portfolio and favorable valuation [23]