January 22, 2026 GE Aerospace fourth quarter & full year 2025 performance Financial results & company highlights Caution concerning forward-looking statements: This document contains "forward-looking statements" – that is, statements related to future events that by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. For details on the uncertainties that may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements, see www.geaerosp ...

Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace is expected to report strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, with revenues projected to grow by 14% year-over-year to $11.26 billion and earnings per share estimated at $1.42, reflecting a 7.6% increase from the previous year [1][9]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GE's fourth-quarter revenues is $11.26 billion, indicating a 14% growth from the prior-year quarter [1]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is $1.42 per share, which has increased by 1.4% over the past 60 days, representing a 7.6% growth from the year-ago quarter [1]. - GE has consistently delivered better-than-expected results, with an average earnings surprise of 19.1% over the last four quarters [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - Increased utilization of GE's engine platforms in both commercial and defense markets is expected to drive results, with the Commercial Engines & Services segment projected to generate $9.09 billion in revenues, an 18.8% year-over-year increase [3]. - The Defense & Propulsion Technologies business is anticipated to benefit from growing demand for propulsion technologies and aftermarket services, with revenues expected to reach $2.73 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase [4]. - Significant investments in expanding and upgrading manufacturing facilities are likely to enhance operational capacity and meet rising demand from commercial and defense customers [5]. Group 3: Challenges and Risks - GE has faced high costs and operating expenses on certain projects, which may impact performance [6]. - Supply chain challenges and labor shortages in the aerospace and defense sectors are expected to affect results in the fourth quarter [6]. Group 4: Earnings Predictions - The earnings model indicates a potential earnings beat for GE, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.98% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [7][8].

Core Insights - AerCap Holdings N.V. has signed a seven-year agreement with GE Aerospace to provide lease pool management services for the GE9X engine, extending support for other engines as well [1][2][3] Group 1: Agreement Details - The agreement enhances the partnership between AerCap and GE Aerospace, adding the GE9X engine to AerCap's servicing capabilities [2] - AerCap will manage GE9X shop visit management, lease return coordination, technical services, and lease documentation support [2][3] Group 2: Strategic Importance - The agreement is crucial for ensuring that customers have a robust support network for their 777X fleets when the GE9X enters service [3] - GE Aerospace is investing in capabilities to support GE9X customers, including increasing capacity and enhancing training [3] Group 3: Company Background - AerCap is a global leader in aviation leasing, serving approximately 300 customers worldwide with comprehensive fleet solutions [4] - GE Aerospace has an installed base of around 44,000 commercial and 26,000 military aircraft engines, employing 52,000 people globally [5]

Group 1 - The core outlook for GE Aerospace indicates significant improvements in revenue and profit projections for 2028 compared to previous estimates [3][4] - Adjusted revenue growth is now expected to be in the double digits, with adjusted operating profit projected at $11.5 billion and free cash flow at $8.5 billion by 2028 [4] - The company's dominant position in commercial airplane engines is anticipated to drive long-term growth through higher-margin service sales [5][6] Group 2 - GE Aerospace's business model focuses on establishing engines with major aircraft manufacturers, leading to multi-decade service sales opportunities due to the long lifespan of engines [6][9] - The LEAP engine fleet is expected to triple by 2030, with a projected 70% increase in narrowbody profit by 2028, driven by ongoing service revenue from both LEAP and CFM56 engines [11] - In the widebody segment, GE holds a significant market share, powering over 50% of widebody departures, with expectations of a 40% increase in widebody profit by 2028 [13][14] Group 3 - Overall, GE anticipates substantial profit improvements by 2028, supported by favorable dynamics in the commercial aerospace sector [16] - The company is expected to grow earnings at a mid-teens rate, backed by a strong market position and a business model that ensures secure growth for many years [17]

Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace is expected to report strong second-quarter 2025 results, with earnings projected at $1.43 per share and revenues at $9.7 billion, reflecting year-over-year growth of 19.2% and 17.9% respectively [1][6]. Earnings Estimates - The earnings estimate for the current quarter has increased by $0.01 over the past week, indicating a positive trend [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenues is $9.7 billion, showing a year-over-year growth of 17.9% [1][6]. Earnings Surprise History - GE Aerospace has consistently outperformed earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 18% over the last four quarters [2]. Earnings Prediction - The company has a positive Earnings ESP of +4.94% and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting a high likelihood of an earnings beat [3]. Segment Performance - The Commercial Engines & Services segment is expected to generate revenues of $7.43 billion, reflecting a sequential growth of 6.5% due to strong demand for its engine platforms [4]. - The Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment is anticipated to achieve revenues of $2.57 billion, indicating a 10.5% sequential increase, driven by rising defense budgets and demand for commercial air travel [5]. Operational Investments - GE has been investing in expanding and upgrading manufacturing facilities in the U.S., which is expected to enhance operational capacity and meet increased demand [6][7]. Portfolio Restructuring - The completion of the Vernova spin-off has allowed GE to focus on its core aerospace business, improving operational focus and financial flexibility [8]. Cost Challenges - High costs and operating expenses from restructuring activities and supply chain challenges may impact performance [9]. Stock Performance - GE Aerospace's shares have increased by 43.8% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry and the S&P 500 [10]. Valuation Metrics - The company is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 43.47X, which is higher than the industry average of 27.51X, indicating potential vulnerability to market sentiment shifts [12]. Investment Outlook - The robust portfolio and strength in aerospace and defense markets are expected to drive performance, with organic revenue growth projected in the low-double-digit range for 2025 [15]. - The company's focus on reducing operational costs and improving margins is expected to enhance long-term cash flow [16]. - Given the positive analyst sentiment and growth prospects, the current market conditions may be favorable for potential investors [18].

Group 1 - GE Aerospace secured a deal with Ethiopian Airlines Group to supply GEnx engines for 11 new Boeing 787 aircraft, increasing the total GEnx-powered aircraft in the airline's fleet to 30 from 19 [1][2] - The GEnx engine family has completed over 62 million flight hours, with more than 3,600 engines currently in service and backlog, and is installed in two-thirds of all Boeing 787 aircraft in operation [2] - Ethiopian Airlines reaffirmed its commitment to equip eight Boeing 777-9 jets with GE9X engines, with an option for six additional aircraft [2][3] Group 2 - GE will provide maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for the GEnx and GE9X engines to Ethiopian Airlines, highlighting a long-standing collaboration that began in 2003 [3] - Recently, GE has secured multiple contracts, including one from Qatar Airways for GE9X and GEnx engines, and an Indefinite Delivery/Indefinite Quantity contract from the U.S. Air Force for F110-GE-129 engines [4] Group 3 - GE Aerospace is experiencing growth due to a rising installed base and higher utilization of engine platforms, supported by increasing U.S. and international defense budgets, geopolitical tensions, and robust demand for commercial air travel [5] - In the past six months, GE's shares have increased by 31.7%, outperforming the industry's growth of 11.1% [6]

Core Insights - The article highlights a significant multi-billion-dollar engine and services agreement between GE Aerospace and Qatar Airways, marking one of the largest commitments for widebody aircraft by GE Aerospace [1][2] - This agreement is expected to provide a substantial tailwind to GE Aerospace's operations, financial trajectory, and long-term value proposition for shareholders [2] Agreement Details - The deal includes an order for over 400 advanced jet engines, specifically 60 GE9X engines and 260 GEnx engines, along with options for additional units and a comprehensive inventory of spares [3] - The GE9X engine offers 10% better fuel efficiency than its predecessor, while the GEnx engine family has powered about two-thirds of all Boeing 787s in operation [4] Sustainability and Services - Both engine platforms are certified to run on 100% Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) blends, aligning with aviation decarbonization goals [5] - The extensive Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) contracts associated with the agreement are expected to generate higher profit margins and provide recurring revenue for decades, enhancing earnings predictability for shareholders [6] Strategic Positioning - The success of this deal is attributed to GE Aerospace's strategic focus following the spin-offs of GE HealthCare and GE Vernova, allowing for more deliberate capital allocation [7] - In Q1 2025, GE Aerospace reported $12.3 billion in total orders (up 12% YoY) and a 60% increase in adjusted EPS to $1.49, indicating strong financial performance [8] Future Revenue and Growth - The Qatar Airways agreement adds significantly to GE's commercial engine backlog, with a Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO) of $153.8 billion in the Commercial Engines & Services segment [9] - The deal supports GE's 2025 outlook, which includes low-double-digit adjusted revenue growth and operating profit guidance between $7.8 billion and $8.2 billion [10] Competitive Advantage - Qatar Airways' choice of GE engines is seen as a strong endorsement of GE Aerospace's technological innovation and operational reliability, marking a competitive victory in the global market [11] - The fulfillment of this large order will require increased production rates, aligning with GE Aerospace's plans to invest nearly $1 billion in U.S. manufacturing facilities [12][13] Shareholder Value - The cash flow from the agreement supports GE's capital return program, including a $0.28 quarterly dividend and a $15 billion share repurchase program [16] - Mega-deals like this one tend to enhance analyst sentiment and market confidence, reducing uncertainty and highlighting the company's competitive edge [17]

Core Insights - GE Aerospace and Qatar Airways have signed a historic agreement for over 400 engines, marking the largest widebody engine deal in GE Aerospace's history [1][2] - The deal includes 60 GE9X engines and 260 GEnx engines, supporting Qatar Airways' expansion plans and enhancing its fleet efficiency [1][2] - The GE9X engine is noted for being the world's most powerful and fuel-efficient commercial aircraft engine, offering 10% better specific fuel consumption than its predecessor [3][4] Company and Industry Overview - GE Aerospace's commitment to Qatar's aviation industry is reinforced by this agreement, which builds on a previous order of 188 GE9X engines, bringing the total to 248 [2] - The GEnx engine family has accumulated over 62 million flight hours since its introduction in 2011, making it GE Aerospace's fastest-selling high-thrust engine [4] - Both GE9X and GEnx engines are certified to run on Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) blends, aligning with industry trends towards sustainability [4] Strategic Partnerships - The partnership includes service agreements for maintenance, repair, and overhaul of the engines, ensuring optimal performance and minimal downtime [2][5] - GE Aerospace provides On Wing Support in Qatar, which includes training for aviation professionals, contributing to the development of local talent in the region [5] Recognition and Achievements - Qatar Airways has been recognized as the 'World's Best Airline' multiple times, showcasing its commitment to excellence in the aviation industry [7][8] - The airline has also received accolades for its environmental initiatives and operational standards, being the first in the Middle East to achieve the highest level of IATA's Environmental Assessment [9]

Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace is expected to report its first-quarter 2025 results on April 22, with a consensus estimate indicating a significant decline in both revenues and earnings compared to the previous year [1][6]. Factors Influencing Performance - The increasing installed base and higher utilization of engine platforms in commercial and defense markets are anticipated to positively impact GE Aerospace's performance [2]. - Strong demand for LEAP, GEnx, and GE9X engines, along with related services, is likely to benefit the Commercial Engines & Services segment due to growth in air traffic and fleet renewal activities [2]. - The Defense & Propulsion Technologies business is expected to perform well, driven by the popularity of propulsion and additive technologies, as well as rising defense budgets and robust demand for commercial air travel [3]. Operational Investments - GE has been investing in expanding and upgrading manufacturing facilities both domestically and internationally, which is expected to enhance operational capacity and meet increased demand from commercial and defense customers [4]. - The company's focus on operational execution, a strong backlog, and the goal of generating healthy free cash flow are likely to support its performance [4]. Challenges Faced - High costs and operating expenses related to certain projects and restructuring activities are anticipated to negatively impact performance [5]. - Supply chain challenges, including raw material availability and labor shortages, particularly in the aerospace and defense sectors, may hinder timely delivery of products [5]. - Global political risks and foreign exchange headwinds, particularly a stronger U.S. dollar, are expected to affect GE's overseas business [6]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GE's first-quarter total revenues is projected at $9 billion, reflecting a 41% year-over-year decline [6]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is set at $1.26 per share, indicating a decrease of 53.7% from the prior year [6]. Earnings Prediction - The current Earnings ESP for GE is -0.82%, with the most accurate estimate at $1.25 per share, which is below the consensus estimate [8].

Core Insights - Korean Air has placed an order for GEnx and GE9X engines from GE Aerospace to power its newly purchased Boeing 777-9 and 787-10 aircraft, marking a significant step in their partnership [1][2] - The order includes a service agreement for the maintenance, repair, and overhaul of the GE9X engines, making Korean Air the first customer for GE9X in South Korea [2] - The GEnx engine family has achieved over 62 million flight hours and is the fastest-selling high-thrust engine from GE Aerospace, with over 3,600 engines in service [3] - The GE9X engine is recognized as the world's most powerful and fuel-efficient commercial aircraft engine, offering 10% better specific fuel consumption than its predecessor [4] Company Overview - GE Aerospace is a leader in aerospace propulsion and services, with an installed base of approximately 45,000 commercial and 25,000 military aircraft engines [7] - The company employs around 53,000 individuals and has a history of over a century in innovation and learning [7] - Korean Air operates a fleet that includes various GE Aerospace and CFM powered engines, utilizing advanced analytics and safety protocols through GE's Flight Data Monitoring system [5]