Core Viewpoint - Nebius has transformed from a seemingly peripheral player in the tech industry to a significant contender, achieving a 350% increase in stock price and a market capitalization exceeding $21 billion within a year, driven by strong revenue growth projections and a landmark agreement with Microsoft [2][3]. Company Overview - Nebius, an AI-centric cloud company, emerged from a split with Yandex and is categorized as a "Neocloud," focusing exclusively on AI workloads with optimized infrastructure [4]. - The company has secured a $17.4 billion agreement with Microsoft to provide GPU infrastructure over five years, validating its capabilities and positioning it among major tech players [3][5]. Market Position and Strategy - Nebius differentiates itself from general-purpose clouds like AWS and Azure by concentrating on high-performance, dedicated GPU infrastructure tailored for AI labs and organizations [4]. - The partnership with Nvidia, a leader in AI chips, provides Nebius with preferential access to advanced GPUs, enhancing its competitive edge [7]. - Nebius employs a vertically integrated model, designing its own servers to reduce costs and improve performance, which allows for rapid deployment and efficiency [8]. Growth Potential - The AI cloud market is expected to grow significantly, with Nebius projected to increase revenues from $568 million in 2025 to approximately $1.5 billion in 2026, and potentially reaching $7.6 billion by 2030 if it maintains a 50% annual growth rate [10]. - The Microsoft contract could contribute over $3.5 billion annually by 2028, indicating strong revenue potential [10]. Valuation Insights - Currently trading at about 40 times the estimated revenue for 2025, if this multiple contracts to 15 times sales, Nebius could achieve a market cap of $114 billion, translating to a stock price of around $459 per share by 2030, representing over 5 times the current price [11].