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Nebius: The Hidden AI Infrastructure Gem Trading at a 50% Discount
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-14 19:38
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant growth of neocloud operators, particularly Nebius, as a key player in the AI revolution, driven by the increasing demand for AI processing resources [1][3][12] Neocloud Overview - Neoclouds are specialized cloud providers that focus on AI processing, utilizing a stockpile of graphics processing units (GPUs) and other necessary infrastructure, often referred to as GPU-as-a-service (GPUaaS) [5][6] Nebius Performance - Nebius has seen substantial stock performance, gaining 122% since resuming public trading in mid-October, and reported a revenue of $55.3 million in Q1, marking a 385% year-over-year increase [2][7] - The annualized run rate from its core AI services is $249 million, reflecting a remarkable increase of 684% [7] Expansion Plans - Nebius is not yet profitable but is expanding its data center network to meet growing AI demand, with plans to bring three new locations online in 2025 and achieve 100 megawatts (MW) of contracted capacity by year-end [8][9] Analyst Sentiment - Wall Street analysts are highly optimistic about Nebius, with all four analysts rating the stock as a buy or strong buy, and a consensus price target of $66.50 indicating a potential 50% upside [10][11] - Goldman Sachs analyst Alexander Duval has initiated coverage with a buy rating and a price target of $68, suggesting a potential upside of 53% [10] Competitive Positioning - Nebius is noted for its full-stack software, cost efficiencies, and scalability, trading at an enterprise-value-to-sales ratio of 3, which is lower than rival CoreWeave's ratio of 5, indicating potential undervaluation [11]
After 70% Rally, Is Nebius Stock Still The Top AI Cloud Pick?
Forbes· 2025-07-09 09:35
Core Viewpoint - Nebius, a Europe-based cloud services provider, has seen a 70% stock increase year-to-date, significantly outperforming the market, driven by a 385% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2025 due to strong demand for generative AI [2][3] Company Differentiation - Nebius is categorized as a "Neocloud," focusing on high-performance infrastructure specifically for AI workloads, unlike traditional hyperscalers [2] - The company has a close partnership with Nvidia, which provides prioritized access to high-demand GPUs, enhancing its competitive edge in a constrained supply market [3] - Nebius employs a vertically integrated model, designing its own servers to reduce costs and improve performance, allowing for rapid incorporation of the latest GPUs [4] - The company offers transparent billing without lock-in agreements, appealing to startups and AI-centric enterprises [4] Financial Performance and Outlook - Nebius's stock is currently priced at approximately $48 per share, trading at about 8.5 times the estimated FY'26 revenue, compared to CoreWeave's 7 times [5] - The company aims for an annualized revenue run rate between $750 million and $1 billion by the end of 2025, with a projected 160% sales increase in the upcoming year [5] - Nebius has a strong balance sheet with nearly $2.5 billion in cash and no debt, positioning it for continued expansion with reduced financial risk [6]