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GitLab: Buy It Low While You Still Can—Higher Prices Are Coming
MarketBeat· 2025-06-11 16:13
Core Viewpoint - GitLab's Q1 earnings report and guidance were solid, but slightly below analysts' expectations, leading to a 12% drop in stock price post-release [2][4][10] Financial Performance - GitLab reported a revenue growth of 26.8%, surpassing consensus estimates by 65 basis points, driven by client growth and penetration [6] - Clients contributing over $5,000 in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) increased by 13%, with a notable 26% rise in clients contributing more than $100,000 [6] - The net retention rate stands at 122%, indicating strong revenue growth from existing clients [6] Margin and Earnings - The company achieved an adjusted operating margin expansion, resulting in record cash flow and free cash flow [7] - Adjusted EPS reached $0.17, exceeding MarketBeat's consensus by 1300 basis points, with expectations for continued strength through the year [7][8] Guidance and Forecast - Guidance for Q2 revenue is at the low end of analysts' expectations, but margin strength is expected to offset this [8] - The forecast includes a 24% year-over-year revenue growth, supported by a 40% increase in remaining performance obligations [9] Analyst Reactions - Initial analyst responses were mixed, with some price target reductions and one increase, indicating a narrowing range around the consensus [10] - The 12-month stock price forecast suggests a potential upside of 49.72%, with a moderate buy rating based on 23 analyst ratings [10] Financial Health - GitLab maintains a strong balance sheet with zero debt, total liabilities less than one times its equity, and approximately two times its cash, providing flexibility for growth and capital returns [11]