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McCormick's Q3 Volumes Gain Traction: What to Expect in 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-15 16:20
Core Insights - McCormick & Company, Inc. (MKC) demonstrated continued volume momentum in Q3 of fiscal 2025, with organic net sales increasing by 2% year over year, primarily driven by the consumer segment which grew by 3% organically [1][10] Group 1: Consumer Segment Performance - The Global Consumer segment showed strong execution, maintaining or improving market share in key categories across various markets [2] - In the U.S., branded unit consumption by McCormick outpaced the broader edible category, while in EMEA, both unit and dollar consumption exceeded the performance of branded and private-label FMCG foods [2] - The Spices and Seasonings segment achieved broad-based volume growth globally, with U.S. volumes outperforming private label for five consecutive quarters and notable contributions from France and Poland in EMEA [3] Group 2: Marketing and Innovation - Sustained investments in brand marketing, innovation, and revenue management have led to differentiated performance over six quarters, with expectations for continued volume growth in Q4 supported by healthy consumption trends and elevated holiday marketing [4] - The company is maintaining its net sales outlook at flat to 2% growth, with organic net sales growth expected in the range of 1% to 3%, driven by volume-led growth in the Consumer segment [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - McCormick enters 2026 with solid momentum, supported by sustained volume-led growth, steady share gains, and strong brand execution across regions [6] - Continued innovation and marketing investment, along with healthy consumption trends, are anticipated to support growth despite a cautious consumer environment [6] Group 4: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MKC's fiscal 2025 and 2026 earnings implies a year-over-year rise of 2.4% and 6.5%, respectively [16]
MKC's Q3 Shows Solid Consumer Momentum: Will the Strength Last in 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 18:40
Key Takeaways Consumer organic sales rose 3% on strong volume gains in spices, seasonings, mustard, and hot sauce. Share gains spanned the U.S., Canada, and Europe, with Grill Mates and Frank's RedHot driving growth. Health-forward trends boosted demand for protein drinks, better-for-you snacks and QSR innovations. McCormick & Company, Inc. (MKC) experienced solid consumer momentum, primarily driven by volume-led growth. Particularly in the consumer segment, organic sales grew 3%, driven by volume growth ac ...
McCormick(MKC) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-07 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total organic sales increased by 2% in the third quarter, marking five consecutive quarters of volume-led growth [5][22] - Adjusted gross profit margin decreased by 120 basis points due to higher commodity costs and tariffs [24] - Adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter was $0.85, an increase of 2% compared to the previous year [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer segment organic sales grew by 3%, driven primarily by volume and mix, with minimal pricing benefit [22] - Flavor Solutions segment organic sales increased by 1%, with a 2% price contribution but flat volume and mix [23] - In the Americas, Consumer organic sales grew by 3%, while in EMEA, it grew by 4% [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Asia-Pacific, Consumer organic sales decreased by 1%, primarily due to softness in the food service business in China [22] - Flavor Solutions in Asia-Pacific saw a 6% increase in organic sales, driven by QSR customer promotions [24] - QSR trends in EMEA began to stabilize, marking an improvement relative to recent periods [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains committed to delivering volume growth and investing in brands, technology, and digital transformation [9][10] - Strategic pricing and ongoing innovation are key components of the company's approach to offset rising costs [10][31] - The company is focused on maintaining a consumer-centric strategy while adapting to market dynamics [11][39] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management noted that the environment remains challenging, with continued pressure expected into 2026 [7][8] - There is confidence in a gradual recovery in the China Consumer segment for 2025 [15] - The company plans to offset tariff impacts through productivity savings and alternative sourcing [30][31] Other Important Information - The company expects to maintain a balanced use of cash, funding growth investments while returning cash to shareholders [29] - Tariff exposure for 2025 is now expected to be approximately $70 million, up from previous estimates [30] - The company is implementing targeted tariff pricing and monitoring elasticities to inform future plans [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Visibility on positive volume outcome in Consumer segment - Management acknowledged a deceleration in overall food unit growth but remains confident in maintaining volume momentum through strategic pricing and innovation [44][46] Question: Mitigation opportunities for inflation and tariffs in 2026 - Management indicated that while it is early to predict exact impacts, robust mitigation plans are in place to lessen the impact of tariffs and inflation [50][52] Question: Clarification on cost inflation guidance - Management explained that increased commodity costs and new tariffs were the primary drivers for the revised guidance [57][60] Question: Gross margin expectations for Q4 - Management confirmed that gross margin is expected to improve in Q4, with a focus on mitigating costs through various strategies [61][62] Question: Reformulation activity and its impact - Management noted increased reformulation activity among customers, particularly in response to consumer concerns about additives [77][80] Question: Acquisition strategy - Management reiterated a focus on both bolt-on and transformative opportunities, particularly in flavor-related categories [82]