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Bet on E-commerce Growth with Groupon and CarGurus
ZACKSยท 2025-07-11 16:30
Industry Overview - Ecommerce sales in Q1 2025 grew by 6.1% compared to Q1 2024, while total retail sales increased by 4.5%, with ecommerce accounting for approximately 16.2% of total U.S. retail sales [1] - The ecommerce industry is experiencing a shift towards digital influencers and advanced technologies such as AR/VR, social commerce, generative AI, and the Metaverse [4][5] - The Zacks Internet - Commerce industry ranks 51, placing it in the top 21% of nearly 250 Zacks industries, indicating positive near-term prospects [8][9] Current Trends - The retail experience is increasingly blending online and offline activities, with consumers preferring faster delivery and pickup options [7] - Subscription models for repeat-use items are gaining traction, making it easier for consumers to order and for retailers to plan [7] - Social commerce is becoming popular, particularly among Gen-Z, with platforms like TikTok leading the way [14] Performance Metrics - The Zacks Electronic - Commerce Industry has gained 18% over the past year, outperforming the broader Zacks Retail and Wholesale Sector (16.5%) and the S&P 500 (11.9%) [12] - The industry is currently trading at a price-to-forward earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.6X, which is a premium of 8.6% to the S&P 500 and a discount of 0.8% to the broader retail sector [16] Company Highlights Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) - Groupon operates an online marketplace connecting buyers and sellers across various sectors, with over 76% of its 2024 revenue coming from the U.S. [19] - The company has shown a positive trend in earnings estimates, with the 2025 estimate moving from a loss of $0.18 to a profit of $0.30 per share [21] - Groupon's shares have increased by 146.9% over the past year, primarily in the last two months [22] CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) - CarGurus offers an online marketplace for new and used cars, with 93% of its 2024 revenue generated in the U.S. [25] - The company has no debt and is focused on improving dealer profitability through data-driven solutions, which is driving its market share [27] - Analysts estimate a 25% earnings growth for 2025, with revenues expected to increase by 5% [28]