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Micron Bets Big on HBM4E: Will Custom Chips Lift Revenues Further?
ZACKS· 2025-10-16 13:45
Core Insights - Micron Technology, Inc. is significantly advancing in the AI memory sector with its new customizable high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips, HBM4E, following a record fiscal 2025 [1][4] Group 1: Product Development and Strategy - The HBM4E line enhances Micron's existing HBM4 platform, providing improved bandwidth, power efficiency, and flexibility [2] - A partnership with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) allows Micron to produce customized base logic dies, optimizing HBM4E for specific applications like advanced graphics processing units and AI accelerators [2][3] - This strategy aims to capture higher-margin opportunities and strengthen customer loyalty in a rapidly expanding market [3] Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - Micron's HBM business generated nearly $8 billion in annualized revenues in fiscal 2025, with expectations for strong demand to persist into fiscal 2026 [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues is $53.27 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 42.5% [5] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 indicate a year-over-year increase of 100% and 12%, respectively, with upward revisions in the past 30 days [15] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - While there are no direct U.S. competitors in the memory chip space, Intel Corporation and Broadcom Inc. are significant players in the HBM supply chain and AI hardware ecosystem [6] - Intel's Gaudi AI accelerators require a robust HBM supply, with Micron being a major supplier [7] - Broadcom's demand for AI chips may influence Micron's future HBM supply allocation [8] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - Micron's shares have increased approximately 128.1% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Integrated Systems industry's gain of 64.1% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 11.4, significantly lower than the industry average of 22.81 [12]