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Hardship Loan Demand Is Rising, And What It Means For Consumer-Finance Stocks in 2025
Benzinga· 2025-12-01 19:00
Core Insights - Hardship loan activity is an early indicator of consumer financial stress, driven by increased borrowing from those with weaker credit profiles to cover unexpected expenses [2][4] - The lending landscape is sensitive to fluctuations in consumer demand, with many stakeholders adjusting risk-management strategies to ensure asset quality [3][5] Industry Overview - The demand for hardship loans is rising as households face budget pressures and restricted access to traditional credit, indicating a shift in the outlook for lenders like OneMain Holdings and Enova International [11][24] - The tightening of traditional credit channels has led to increased applications for hardship loans, as borrowers seek alternative financing options [4][7] Company Performance: OneMain Holdings - OneMain Holdings reported third-quarter revenue of $1.6 billion, a 9% increase, driven by higher portfolio yield, with adjusted EPS rising by 51% to $1.90 [12] - The total managed receivables base increased by 6% year-over-year to $25.9 billion, supported by $3.9 billion in new consumer-loan originations [13] - The net charge-off ratio for consumer loans fell to 6.67%, indicating improved credit performance and operational efficiency [13] Company Performance: Enova International - Enova International's third-quarter revenue rose by 16% year-over-year to $803 million, with adjusted EPS increasing by 37% to $3.36 [15] - Total originations reached $2.0 billion, reflecting consistent demand, while the receivables base grew by 20% year-over-year to $4.5 billion [16] - Enova's valuation metrics indicate a trailing Price-to-Earnings multiple around 12x, suggesting a focused approach on risk-adjusted yield [17] Market Outlook - The demand for hardship loans signals rising consumer stress, with OneMain Holdings and Enova International positioned to respond to borrower behavior and liquidity needs [24] - The addressable market for non-prime lenders remains unsaturated, providing opportunities for growth despite current challenges [25][23]