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After a Sharp Rally, Okta Stock Pulls Back on Cautious Outlook -- Time to Buy the Dip?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-05-31 22:00
Core Viewpoint - Okta's stock experienced a decline following cautious guidance despite a solid fiscal Q1 performance, reflecting broader economic uncertainties and a conservative outlook from management [2][3]. Financial Performance - For fiscal Q1, Okta reported a revenue increase of 12% year over year to $688 million, surpassing the previous forecast of $678 million to $680 million [6]. - Subscription revenue also rose by 12% to $673 million, while adjusted EPS increased by 24% year over year to $0.86, exceeding the outlook of $0.76 to $0.77 [6]. - The company maintained its full-year revenue forecast for fiscal 2026 at $2.85 billion to $2.86 billion, indicating a growth of 9% to 10% [3]. Customer Metrics - Okta's net dollar retention rate was 106%, indicating growth, although it has decreased from 111% a year ago [7]. - The number of customers with annual contract values (ACVs) above $100,000 increased by 7% to 4,870, and those with ACVs over $1 million rose by 20% year over year [7]. Backlog and Future Guidance - The remaining performance obligation (RPO) backlog grew by 21% to $4.08 billion, while the current RPO backlog increased by 14% to nearly $2.23 billion, indicating future revenue potential [8]. - For fiscal Q2, management guided for approximately 10% revenue growth, projecting revenue between $710 million and $712 million, with adjusted EPS expected to be between $0.83 and $0.84 [8]. Strategic Initiatives - Okta highlighted strong demand for newer products such as Identity Governance and Privileged Access, and is addressing rising security risks associated with AI [4]. - The company is implementing a specialized sales strategy, which has shown early positive results in its U.S. small and mid-sized business team [5]. Market Position - Despite a cautious approach to guidance, Okta is positioned to capitalize on growing market opportunities in the evolving cybersecurity landscape, particularly with the integration of AI [10]. - With a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of approximately 6.4 based on fiscal 2026 revenue estimates, Okta remains reasonably valued compared to other leading cybersecurity stocks, presenting a potential buying opportunity [11].