Summary of Bread Financial Conference Call (December 10, 2025) Company Overview - **Company**: Bread Financial (NYSE: BFH) - **Industry**: Credit Card and Financial Services Key Points Company Strategy and Focus - Bread Financial continues to focus on responsible growth and disciplined risk management, aiming to be a leading provider in the credit card space [1][2] - The company has improved its financial position and is now a capital return story, with solid EPS levels expected moving forward [1] - Operational excellence is emphasized as a key driver for business transformation and investment [3] Consumer Spending and Macroeconomic Environment - Consumer spending has shown resilience, with higher risk bands spending more on travel and entertainment, while lower risk bands focus on non-discretionary items [5] - Inflation has been a concern, but consumers are budgeting well and showing flexibility in spending, particularly during the holiday season [6] - A low single-digit growth of 1%-2% year-over-year in consumer spending is expected for the fourth quarter [8] Loan Growth and Underwriting - Average loans are expected to slightly decrease in 2025, but a return to low to mid-single-digit growth is anticipated for the following year due to improved credit performance and new partnerships [15][17] - The company maintains a cautious underwriting stance, focusing on data-driven decisions rather than a broad loosening of credit standards [23][25] Partnerships and New Business Development - Bread Financial's partner pipeline remains robust, with recent partnerships announced with Bed Bath & Beyond, Furniture First, and Raymour & Flanigan [30] - The company focuses on both acquiring new partners and maintaining existing relationships, with top partners committed until 2028 and beyond [35][54] Credit Performance and Loss Rates - The company has seen improving credit performance, with expectations to come in on the lower end of the 7.8-7.9% loss rate guidance [66] - A further improvement of 30-40 basis points in loss rates is anticipated for the next year, driven by better credit quality and consumer behavior [75][96] Capital Structure and Financial Management - Bread Financial has successfully restructured its capital, achieving a CET1 ratio in the mid-13% to 14% range [139] - The company plans to issue additional preferred shares to further strengthen its capital structure [141] - A focus on returning value to shareholders through dividends and buybacks is maintained, with a strong balance sheet allowing for multiple capital allocation strategies [118][150] Technology and Innovation - The company is leveraging AI and technology to enhance customer service, fraud management, and operational efficiency [128] - Bread Financial is committed to staying competitive by building strong relationships with partners and continuously improving its offerings [130] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about its growth trajectory, with a focus on improving credit quality and expanding its partner base [197] - Bread Financial encourages investors to judge the company based on its consistent outcomes and strong balance sheet, highlighting the potential for future growth [198] Additional Insights - The company has successfully navigated a challenging macroeconomic environment and is positioned for continued improvement in credit quality and operational efficiency [96][197] - Bread Financial's approach to partnerships emphasizes long-term relationships rather than transactional interactions, which is seen as a competitive advantage [135]