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Seagate Technology CFO Sees Nearline Demand Above Supply, Sticks With Steady Price Hikes
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-01 23:33
Core Viewpoint - Seagate Technology maintains a consistent pricing strategy while expecting significant growth in nearline hard disk drive demand, driven by higher-capacity products and improved yields over the next few years [4][5][7]. Demand and Growth Outlook - Demand for Seagate's products is currently higher than supply, with the company selling all produced exabytes and anticipating a nearline exabyte growth rate of approximately 25% CAGR over the next three to four years [2][7]. - Seagate's nearline exabyte growth outlook aligns with industry expectations, with a mid-20s CAGR forecasted over multiple years [3][4]. Pricing Strategy - The company plans to implement modest price increases during contract renegotiations to encourage the adoption of higher-capacity drives while keeping the average price per terabyte "flat to slightly up" [1][7]. - Seagate aims for stability in pricing rather than aggressive increases, emphasizing the importance of visibility in the market [7][8]. Capacity and Production Strategy - Seagate's factories are operating at full capacity, focusing on increasing exabytes through higher-capacity drives rather than increasing unit volume [5][16]. - The company is experiencing a rising share of Shingled Magnetic Recording (SMR) drives, which are increasingly favored by large public cloud customers [5][17]. Technology and Cost Improvements - More than 20% of Seagate's nearline exabytes were from Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) technology last quarter, with expectations for significant cost-per-terabyte declines starting with the 40TB generation [6][15]. - Seagate is qualifying its Mozaic 4+ HAMR platform with large cloud customers, anticipating volume ramps later in the year [15][18]. Financial Performance and Capital Returns - Seagate has achieved 11 consecutive quarters of pricing and cost improvement, contributing to gross margin expansion [18]. - The company has reduced its debt from over $6 billion to below $4 billion and aims to return more than 75% of free cash flow to shareholders [5][18].