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INOD vs. PGY: Which AI-Powered Data Play Should You Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 14:46
Core Insights - The article highlights two companies, Innodata Inc. (INOD) and Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY), as significant players in the AI and fintech sectors, both leveraging AI for distinct market solutions [2][3]. Group 1: Innodata Inc. (INOD) - Innodata reported a 79% year-over-year revenue increase to $58.4 million in Q2 2025, with adjusted EBITDA rising 375% to $13.2 million [5][10]. - The company has expanded its enterprise relationships, particularly with major tech clients, and anticipates a revenue increase from a key partner from $200,000 to $10 million in the second half of 2025 [6]. - Innodata is investing in long-cycle platforms and emerging fields like autonomous agents and robotics, committing $1.4 million to new hiring for product development [7][8]. - The company faces concentration risk due to reliance on a few large clients but has a healthy cash position of $59.8 million and an unused credit facility to support growth [8]. Group 2: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) - Pagaya achieved $326 million in Q2 2025 revenue, a 30% increase year-over-year, and reported $17 million in GAAP net income, marking a turnaround from previous losses [12][10]. - The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook to $1.25–$1.325 billion, indicating over 20% growth, with an expected GAAP net income of $55–$75 million [12]. - Pagaya's diversified model includes 145 institutional funding partners, reducing reliance on single clients and enabling multiple revenue streams [13]. - The company has introduced innovative products like the Direct Marketing Engine and FastPass, enhancing its operational efficiency and expanding lending capacity [14]. Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - Innodata's stock is trading around $37.74, with a 52-week range of $13.02 to $71.00, reflecting a slight decline of 1.4% recently [16]. - Pagaya's stock is trading around $29.77, with a 52-week range of $8.20 to $41.48, down about 1.7% recently [17]. - Year-to-date, Pagaya's stock has increased approximately 220.5%, while Innodata's stock has declined by 4.5% [18]. - Innodata has a market cap of $1.2 billion with a forward P/S ratio of 4.29, indicating high expectations for growth [21]. - Pagaya, with a market cap near $2.3 billion, has a forward P/S ratio of 1.58, suggesting a more favorable valuation compared to Innodata [22]. Group 4: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Innodata's 2025 EPS is 71 cents, reflecting a 20.2% decline from the previous year, with a revenue growth estimate of 42.8% [24]. - For Pagaya, the 2025 EPS estimate is $2.51, indicating a 202.4% improvement from the previous year, with a revenue growth estimate of 28.4% [27]. Group 5: Conclusion - Both companies are positioned well within the AI landscape, but they cater to different investor preferences: Innodata offers rapid growth potential in AI data engineering, while Pagaya presents a more stable fintech model with strong profitability [30][32].