Workflow
Invesco QQQ Trust (ETF)
icon
Search documents
Should You Buy the Invesco QQQ ETF During the Nasdaq Bear Market? Here's What History Says
The Motley Foolยท 2025-05-01 09:31
Core Viewpoint - The current bear market in the Nasdaq-100, driven by economic and political uncertainties, may present a buying opportunity for long-term investors, particularly in the Invesco QQQ Trust, which tracks the performance of the Nasdaq-100 [2][10][13]. Group 1: Nasdaq-100 Overview - The Nasdaq-100 includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange, serving as a proxy for technology and technology-adjacent industries [1]. - The index has experienced a decline of up to 23% from its record high in April, entering a technical bear market [2]. Group 2: The Magnificent Seven - The Magnificent Seven, a group of seven major U.S. stocks, represent 41.3% of the total value of the Invesco QQQ Trust, significantly influencing its performance [5]. - These stocks have averaged a decline of 15% this year, with Tesla leading the drop at 29% due to soft demand for electric vehicles [6]. - Alphabet reported a 46% year-over-year increase in net income, indicating strong earnings potential for the Magnificent Seven [6]. Group 3: AI and Future Growth - Companies like Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft are expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI services through their cloud platforms [7]. - Nvidia's data center revenue surged by 142% to $115.2 billion in fiscal year 2025, highlighting its strong position in the AI chip market [8]. Group 4: Invesco QQQ Trust Performance - The Invesco QQQ Trust has historically weathered multiple bear markets since its inception in 1999, delivering a compound annual return of 10% from 1999 to 2024 [10]. - The current bear market is not expected to derail this long-term trend, as historical patterns suggest potential recovery following economic shocks [11]. Group 5: Tariff Impact - Recent tariff adjustments by President Trump may alleviate some economic pressures, with negotiations for new trade deals underway [11]. - The tariffs primarily affect physical imports, leaving digital goods and services, crucial for companies like Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon, largely unaffected [12]. - Semiconductors are exempt from aggressive tariffs, benefiting companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, and Micron Technology [12].