Crocs (CROX) 2025 Conference June 03, 2025 08:30 AM ET Speaker0 Great. Good morning everyone. Welcome to Baird's forty sixth Annual and twenty twenty five Global Consumer Technology and Services Conference. I'm John Komp, the Senior Analyst covering the active lifestyle sector and very pleased to have the company joining us for the sixth consecutive year, Crocs, with us to kick off the conference today. And I couldn't think of a better company help us kick off here. I think every consumer in the world likel ...

Core Viewpoint - Crocs, Inc. is expected to report a decline in both revenue and earnings per share for the first quarter of 2025, with challenges stemming from the HEYDUDE brand and a volatile operating environment [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for revenues is $909.6 million, reflecting a 3.1% decrease from the previous year [1]. - Earnings per share are estimated at $2.51, indicating a 16.9% decline year-over-year [1]. - The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 17.8% on average, with the last quarter surpassing estimates by 10.04% [2]. Brand Performance - The HEYDUDE brand is facing significant challenges, with expected revenue declines of 14-16% due to weak wholesale demand [4]. - The Crocs brand is projected to have flat to slightly down revenue performance, although international growth may provide some support [4]. - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) revenues are growing, but overall brand momentum is under pressure [2][5]. Market Conditions - Crocs anticipates a 3.5% year-over-year revenue decline, influenced by currency fluctuations, with a $19 million adverse impact from foreign currency [3]. - The North America business is expected to decline by mid-single digits, partially due to the timing shift of the Easter holiday [4]. Valuation - Crocs is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 7.11X, which is below both its five-year high of 34.18X and the industry average of 10.15X, indicating an attractive valuation opportunity [7]. Stock Performance - Over the past six months, Crocs' shares have decreased by 9.1%, contrasting with the industry growth of 17.6% [8].