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Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace reported strong Q4 2025 results with adjusted EPS of $1.57, exceeding estimates by 10%, and full-year adjusted EPS totaled $6.37, indicating robust operational performance [2][4] Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 20% in Q4 to $11.9 billion, driven by a 31% growth in services and record LEAP engine deliveries surpassing 1,800 units [2][6] - Total orders soared by 74% to $27.0 billion, reflecting strong demand in both commercial and defense segments [6] - Operating profit rose by 14% to $2.3 billion, although operating margins contracted by 90 basis points to 19.2% due to increased production investments [6] - Free cash flow totaled $1.8 billion, representing a 15% increase, showcasing solid cash-generating capabilities [6] Segment Performance - The Commercial Engines & Services segment displayed the strongest performance with orders growing by 76% and services revenue soaring by 31% [11] - The Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment exhibited steady growth with orders up by 61% and revenue increasing by 13% [11] 2026 Guidance - Management has issued 2026 guidance projecting adjusted EPS in the range of $7.10-$7.40, implying approximately 14% growth at the midpoint [8] - Free cash flow is expected to remain strong, bolstering shareholder returns and balance sheet flexibility [8] Valuation Concerns - The stock has risen significantly over the past twelve months (+47%), leading to a high P/E ratio of 46x, which is a substantial premium to historical averages [4][9] - The current trailing P/E ratio exceeds the three-year average of 40.2x, indicating that the market is factoring in flawless execution and sustained double-digit growth [9] Investment Outlook - The risk-reward profile appears unbalanced at current levels, with the 46.2x P/E ratio providing little margin for error [13] - Investors may find it more advantageous to wait for a more appealing entry point rather than pursuing momentum following the significant rally [13]

Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace reported strong fourth-quarter earnings and revenue that exceeded analyst expectations, despite a decline in share price during the trading day [1] Group 1: Fourth-Quarter Performance - Adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter were $1.57, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.43 [1] - Revenue for the fourth quarter reached $11.87 billion, exceeding the $11.2 billion consensus estimate [1] - Adjusted earnings increased by 19% year over year, while adjusted revenue rose by 20% compared to the same quarter last year [1] Group 2: Full-Year 2025 Results - For the full year 2025, adjusted earnings per share were $6.37, up 38% year over year [2] - Adjusted revenue increased by 21% to $42.3 billion [2] - Free cash flow climbed by 24% to $7.7 billion, with conversion exceeding 100% [2] Group 3: Future Outlook for 2026 - GE Aerospace forecasts earnings per share for 2026 to be between $7.10 and $7.40, with the midpoint exceeding analyst estimates of $7.12 [3] - The company noted continued strength in both commercial and defense markets, with commercial engine deliveries increasing by 25% in 2025 [3] - LEAP engine deliveries rose by 28%, while defense deliveries grew by 30% [3] Group 4: Order Backlog - Fourth-quarter orders totaled $27 billion, representing a 74% increase from the prior year [2] - This growth in orders is expected to expand the company's backlog and support future growth prospects [2]

January 22, 2026 GE Aerospace fourth quarter & full year 2025 performance Financial results & company highlights Caution concerning forward-looking statements: This document contains "forward-looking statements" – that is, statements related to future events that by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. For details on the uncertainties that may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements, see www.geaerosp ...

Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace is experiencing significant financial growth, with free cash flow conversion exceeding 130%, leading to increased shareholder returns since its spin-off from General Electric in 2024 [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a 26% increase in revenue to $11.3 billion and a 26% rise in operating profit to $2.3 billion for the third quarter [4] - Adjusted earnings per share surged 44% to $1.66 [4] - The stock has returned 71% over the last 12 months, with adjusted earnings expected to grow by 35.6% in 2025 following a 63.7% increase in 2024 [3] Shareholder Returns - GE Aerospace has committed to returning $24 billion to shareholders from 2024 to 2026, representing a 20% increase from initial plans [2] Market Position - The company operates the largest installed base of commercial jet engines globally, with 78,000 engines powering three out of every four commercial aircraft [5] - The extensive fleet generates predictable high-margin services revenue [5] Upcoming Expectations - Analysts forecast revenue in Q4 to increase to $11.2 billion from $9.88 billion year-over-year, with adjusted earnings per share expected to rise to $1.43 from $1.32 [6] Supply Chain Improvements - Services revenue increased by 28% due to improved material availability and increased shop visits, with internal shop visit revenue growing by 33% [8] - Spare parts sales rose by 25% as supply chain constraints eased, and LEAP engine deliveries surged by 40% year-over-year in Q3 [8]

Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace is expected to report strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, with revenues projected to grow by 14% year-over-year to $11.26 billion and earnings per share estimated at $1.42, reflecting a 7.6% increase from the previous year [1][9]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GE's fourth-quarter revenues is $11.26 billion, indicating a 14% growth from the prior-year quarter [1]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is $1.42 per share, which has increased by 1.4% over the past 60 days, representing a 7.6% growth from the year-ago quarter [1]. - GE has consistently delivered better-than-expected results, with an average earnings surprise of 19.1% over the last four quarters [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - Increased utilization of GE's engine platforms in both commercial and defense markets is expected to drive results, with the Commercial Engines & Services segment projected to generate $9.09 billion in revenues, an 18.8% year-over-year increase [3]. - The Defense & Propulsion Technologies business is anticipated to benefit from growing demand for propulsion technologies and aftermarket services, with revenues expected to reach $2.73 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase [4]. - Significant investments in expanding and upgrading manufacturing facilities are likely to enhance operational capacity and meet rising demand from commercial and defense customers [5]. Group 3: Challenges and Risks - GE has faced high costs and operating expenses on certain projects, which may impact performance [6]. - Supply chain challenges and labor shortages in the aerospace and defense sectors are expected to affect results in the fourth quarter [6]. Group 4: Earnings Predictions - The earnings model indicates a potential earnings beat for GE, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.98% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace has demonstrated significant stock appreciation, highlighting the effectiveness of a long-term buy-and-hold investment strategy [1][2]. Company Performance - In its first full year as a stand-alone entity, GE Aerospace's stock appreciated nearly 85%, emphasizing its critical role in the aerospace sector and potential for recurring income from servicing commercial aerospace engines [2]. - The company has transformed since 2018, moving away from the challenges faced by General Electric, and now holds a dominant position in commercial aerospace, powering 75% of commercial flights with its engines [3]. Market Position and Business Model - GE Aerospace's CFM International LEAP engine is the exclusive engine for the Boeing 737 MAX and one of two options for the Airbus A320neo family, ensuring a steady income stream from long-term service agreements [4][5]. - The business model operates on a "razor-and-blade" strategy, where engines are sold at low margins to generate substantial service revenue over decades [6]. Service Demand and Revenue Growth - The recovery in flight departures has led to increased service demand, resulting in higher-than-expected service revenue from legacy CFM56 engines, despite slower LEAP engine deliveries due to supply chain issues [8]. - Management anticipates annual revenue growth in the double-digit percentage range from 2025 to 2028, with earnings per share projected to rise from approximately $6.10 in 2025 to $8.40 in 2028 [11]. Future Outlook - Supply chain issues are easing, allowing GE Aerospace to increase LEAP engine deliveries and capitalize on growing commercial engine and services order growth [9]. - The ramp-up in LEAP deliveries may negatively impact margins in the short term but is expected to enhance long-term earnings growth estimates [11].

Summary of GE Aerospace FY Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE) - **Industry**: Aerospace and Defense - **Key Segments**: Commercial engines and services, Defense propulsion technologies Core Points and Arguments 1. **Market Leadership**: GE Aerospace has the largest engine install base in the industry with 78,000 engines, powering three out of every four commercial aircraft and two out of three U.S. combat aircraft [4][5] 2. **Revenue Composition**: In 2025, approximately 70% of revenue is expected to come from services, supported by a $175 billion backlog, primarily driven by the install base [5][6] 3. **Growth Projections**: - Services orders growth has increased by over 30% year-to-date, leading to a 25% growth in commercial services revenue [5][6] - Full-year outlook for commercial services has been raised to low to mid-20s growth, translating to an additional $1 billion in services revenue [6] - Defense propulsion technologies (DPT) revenue expectations have been increased to high single digits from mid-single digits [6][12] 4. **Operational Improvements**: The implementation of the FlightDeck operating model has improved material flow by over 30% year-over-year, enhancing operational efficiency and supplier performance [6][7][29] 5. **Future Outlook for 2026**: - Anticipated growth in air traffic and engine shop visits, with a projected double-digit increase in shop visits over 2025 [10][11] - LEAP engine deliveries expected to grow by 15%-20%, reaching around 2,000 engines [12][13] - Services growth is expected to normalize to a double-digit growth rate between 2024 and 2028 [12][16] 6. **LEAP Engine Performance**: - LEAP engines are achieving performance levels comparable to CFM56 engines, with expectations for improved durability and profitability in the coming years [18][20] - External shop visits for LEAP engines are projected to increase significantly, unlocking spare parts revenue [20][39] Additional Important Insights 1. **Supply Chain Management**: GE Aerospace has focused on improving transparency and communication with suppliers, which has been crucial for meeting demand and resolving issues [36][38] 2. **Defense Propulsion Technologies Growth**: - DPT has seen an 80% increase in defense engine shipments year-over-year, with a $19 billion backlog driving future growth [42][43] - Growth opportunities are identified in international markets and classified projects, with expectations for mid-single digit growth in DPT [47][48] 3. **Cultural Shift**: The FlightDeck initiative has transformed the company culture towards greater transparency and accountability, enhancing overall operational performance [29][34] Conclusion - GE Aerospace is positioned for strong performance in 2025 and optimistic growth in 2026, with a solid backlog and operational improvements driving future revenue [48][49]

Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2025 reached $1498 million, a 204% increase year-over-year[15] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $196 million, up 161% year-over-year[15] - The adjusted EBITDA margin was 131% in Q3 2025, a decrease of 40 bps year-over-year[15] - Free Cash Flow for Q3 2025 was $(4) million[32] - The company is raising its 2025 revenue guidance to $5970 - $6030 million, representing a 14% to 15% year-over-year increase[21] - The company is raising its 2025 Free Cash Flow guidance to $170 - $190 million[21] Segment Performance - Engine Services revenue grew by 213% year-over-year in Q3 2025[34] - Component Repair Services revenue grew by 139% year-over-year in Q3 2025[39] - Component Repair Services achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 307% in Q3 2025, an increase of 430 bps year-over-year[39] Balance Sheet - The Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio improved to 29x[50]

Core Insights - GE Aerospace is highlighted as a must-buy stock, particularly due to its recent advancements in the GEK800 engine testing, which is aimed at unmanned aerial systems and combat aircraft [1][2] - The collaboration with Kratos Defense reflects a strategic move towards developing affordable, high-performance engines for future defense technologies [2] - Bernstein's analyst Douglas S. Harned reaffirmed an Outperform rating for GE Aerospace, setting a price target of $374, driven by strong performance in the commercial aftermarket segment [3] Company Developments - The altitude testing for the GEK800 engine was completed at Purdue University, marking a significant milestone in the partnership between GE Aerospace and Kratos [1] - The GEK800 engine, weighing 800 pounds, has undergone over 50 ground test starts since the partnership began in 2023, indicating robust progress in development [1] - GE Aerospace has increased its Customer Equipment Services revenue guidance by $1 billion following a solid third quarter performance [4] Financial Performance - Bernstein raised its 2025 earnings estimate for GE Aerospace to $6.28 per share and increased its revenue forecast to $41.8 billion, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory [4] - The LEAP engine deliveries exceeded expectations, contributing to the positive outlook for GE Aerospace's financial performance [4] Industry Context - The collaboration between GE Aerospace and Kratos is supported by the Air Force Research Laboratory and Office of Naval Research, emphasizing the importance of government backing in defense technology advancements [2] - GE Aerospace is recognized as a leader in propulsion systems for both commercial and military aircraft, showcasing its significant role in the aviation industry [5]